Wednesday -- August 5, 2009 - Page 2 - Pace and Cap

raceman5 · 08-05-2009, 03:07 PM

Thanks tfm. R5 Saratoga 4-5-6

pktruckdriver · 08-05-2009, 03:13 PM

Sar 5th

Number 2 over 4, 6

GLA
Patrick

pktruckdriver · 08-05-2009, 03:28 PM

Sar 6

Here's an opportunity for a double single in the pick 4 bet

the number 10 horse in the 1st leg and the last leg too

so 10 / all / 1,2 / 10 2.00 for 12.00 maybe punch it a few times

Just a thought

Patrick

tfm · 08-05-2009, 03:33 PM

The 10 certainly can win it but it's a risky single. The 7, Marscaponi, ran his best race to date last out and could easily win the race.

raceman5 · 08-05-2009, 03:41 PM

Race 6 Saratoga 10-5-2

tfm · 08-05-2009, 03:45 PM

Sar r6

double 7/1

pktruckdriver · 08-05-2009, 03:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tfm

The 10 certainly can win it but it's a risky single. The 7, Marscaponi, ran his best race to date last out and could easily win the race.

True it is just one of those things that you see the card from a far and your
1st gut instinct, or mine was the late pick 4 has 2 single, maybe 3 , and being a truck driver who use the 10-4 and 10-codes all day, I see a 10 book-end pick 4.

race 6 Yes the 7 and 5 are tough here, but 10 is a great play

Race 7 wide open 5 and 6 stand out, but "all " is nice, then hope

Race 8 Cocoa Beach can be a single play easily

Race 9 10 is stand out here again, but 4 and 7 too

Just my initial gut feeling is all, nothing more, play your race and good luck

Patrick

classhandicapper · 08-05-2009, 03:57 PM

Someone please shoot me.

I had Essex Ferry on my "horses to watch" list. I saw that the horse was running in today's second race at SAR, but I had something important to do and didn't want to bet the race blindly. I knew I was going to have to structure a bet in a way that was going to take more time than I had this morning to think about because the horse was not a high probability play. I just got home and saw that the horse paid $37. I can't freaking believe this. They are torturing me so far at Saratoga.

tfm · 08-05-2009, 04:06 PM

Donovan apparently liked that horse last out. I assume because it had had consistent gate problems. It was the 'other' in my 'wipe-out otherwise' angle. (Then again, the 25:1 winner of the 1st was the 'wipe-out' of the 'wipe-out otherwise' in its last race.)

I noted it before the race but got involved doing other things and forgot about it. Serling mentioned it and used it in P4's.

Should I start a list of all the BOMBS I screwed up recently and didn't play? Not about 'picking' them but about 'playing' them.

tfm · 08-05-2009, 04:11 PM

I'm listening to Blewitt and it just amazes me how challenged he is when it come to even the basics. He still doesn't understand that horses that show speed at a particular distance, then cut back, from 5.5F to 5F even, will show LESS speed. The 5 in the 7th probably is the speed by default but the 1 could easily go today, if she breaks well (assuming their intent is to send her).

The 1 is the DUNCE CAP horse for Searling. If she wins, he wears it.

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08-05-2009, 03:07 PM	#11
raceman5 Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2007 Location: Largo Fl. Posts: 2,363	Thanks tfm. R5 Saratoga 4-5-6

08-05-2009, 03:13 PM	#12
pktruckdriver Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2009 Location: Saratoga Springs Posts: 1,547	Sar 5th Number 2 over 4, 6 GLA Patrick

08-05-2009, 03:28 PM	#13
pktruckdriver Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2009 Location: Saratoga Springs Posts: 1,547	Sar 6 Here's an opportunity for a double single in the pick 4 bet the number 10 horse in the 1st leg and the last leg too so 10 / all / 1,2 / 10 2.00 for 12.00 maybe punch it a few times Just a thought Patrick

08-05-2009, 03:33 PM	#14
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	The 10 certainly can win it but it's a risky single. The 7, Marscaponi, ran his best race to date last out and could easily win the race.

08-05-2009, 03:41 PM	#15
raceman5 Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2007 Location: Largo Fl. Posts: 2,363	Race 6 Saratoga 10-5-2

08-05-2009, 03:45 PM	#16
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	Sar r6 double 7/1

08-05-2009, 03:57 PM	#18
classhandicapper AlwNW3X Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 47	Someone please shoot me. I had Essex Ferry on my "horses to watch" list. I saw that the horse was running in today's second race at SAR, but I had something important to do and didn't want to bet the race blindly. I knew I was going to have to structure a bet in a way that was going to take more time than I had this morning to think about because the horse was not a high probability play. I just got home and saw that the horse paid $37. I can't freaking believe this. They are torturing me so far at Saratoga.

08-05-2009, 04:06 PM	#19
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	Donovan apparently liked that horse last out. I assume because it had had consistent gate problems. It was the 'other' in my 'wipe-out otherwise' angle. (Then again, the 25:1 winner of the 1st was the 'wipe-out' of the 'wipe-out otherwise' in its last race.) I noted it before the race but got involved doing other things and forgot about it. Serling mentioned it and used it in P4's. Should I start a list of all the BOMBS I screwed up recently and didn't play? Not about 'picking' them but about 'playing' them.

08-05-2009, 04:11 PM	#20
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	I'm listening to Blewitt and it just amazes me how challenged he is when it come to even the basics. He still doesn't understand that horses that show speed at a particular distance, then cut back, from 5.5F to 5F even, will show LESS speed. The 5 in the 7th probably is the speed by default but the 1 could easily go today, if she breaks well (assuming their intent is to send her). The 1 is the DUNCE CAP horse for Searling. If she wins, he wears it.