Woodbine - Tonight

[TPace]

The previous posts are really well thought out and informative.

My thoughts on the pace differ, as do some of my true contenders.

The 6 may also vie for the lead, although the pace looks to be on the 23/46 range.

My true contenders are the 1A, 2, 3, and 8.

1A: can handle projected pace; has closed nicely at the distance three times.
2: can handle projected pace; nice move from 8th to 4th in last; seems primed for this.
3: can handle projected pace; competitive at distance/class (sorry about that one .
8: can handle projected pace; nice closing style; great competitive races in sprints; last race against much faster pace looks like a work.

My final selections are the 8 and 3.

Thank you to Richie for posting this. These are the types of races that are usually left alone, but are the same types of races that are very lucrative. An excellent lesson again from Richie.

[tfm]

Now that I've had a chance to take a longer look at this race, here's my revised take:

#13 : his last race catches the eye but he's going longer today and he's really only run ONE good race in his history; and this was on the turf (6/11/09). While I typically play horses that makes these type of moves back, I just can't see this horse getting 7F.

#12: 7F is his distance and he's run 2 nice races at it. This is a new claim and Contreras is a premature moving idiot. He figures to get a nice trip.

#3: two nice races in his history: one at 6F and the other at 7F. Should also be in good position but ahead of the 12 early.

I'll probably take a 2 nbr exacta: 12 / 3, 13

[tleusin]

2 and 12

[RichieP]

Excellent hits by the Raceman and Tleusin !!

When I had looked at the race I didnt see any horse going for the lead as I dont count route "leaves" in a sprint. Jim wanted me comparing apples to apples but WOULD count a sprint early if today was a route. I dont remember him going the other way on that.

Thanks everyone for jumping in on this interesting matchup race.