Woodbine - Wed. Night

[Eddybugsy]

R4
#6@11/1
I dont' think I have ever seen a Jockey sit / stand up so high on a horse.
I guess to slow it down - I think there are better ways to slow down a horse.
The 6 flamed out in the stretch.....

[lsosa54]

Bill: I hope you had more than a smidge - good call. He just held on.

[Bill Lyster]

Thanks, but this was just exercise from here. Cannot place a Woodbine bet from here. Nice to know that principles still work when you concentrate though,

Thanks Lou,

[Bill Lyster]

results

[RichieP]

Originally Posted by Bill Lyster

Only dedicated front runner is maiden winner in last, #7, in very slow time. Not enthusiastic about that at all.

With all due respect Mike, i want to look closer at #2. Only 1 dirt route in slop, but was on lead and faded badly. Line 1 on turf was an attempt at a wire job but just missed. And I do not have a good turf to poly understanding at WO, but projecting to 8.5f in last would be 142.8 losing by about half L. Line two projected at 6.4/half furlong and adding two ticks to the internals shows losing by 1 in a final time of 143.7 pressing from 5th to 2nd while closing. So this one does not need lead but may get a BIG lead by default. The 2 beat the 1-9-4 in tandem handily.

The 3 is probably the FPLR running 7F in 1.22.9 losing by a neck. Projected pace and times are 46-110.6-123.1 and 142.3, closing 6-2-2 positionally and 6.5-2-nk otherwise. Has closed well in lines 2 and 4 and beat 4 and 9 in separate tandems, losing to he 6 in tandem 8 by 1/2 length. If I matched the 3 vs two off of sprints, I'd take the 3.

The 6 in last closed 11-3.7-4.1 against the fastest route pace in this field 46.7-111.6-143.6 losing by 5.8 L - could/should be closer today. Runs closer against slower paces than today and got run down by #3.

I take 3 to win, with 2 and 6 in exacta positions and maybe a smidge on the 2 as a 2nd win candidate.

Good luck to the gamblers,

Bill

I think

Sharp analysis Bill and getting the winner and exacta is always real nice man!!
Thanks also for putting up the result chart

Big thank you to ALL who jumped in and participated!

[mikesal57]

Originally Posted by Bill Lyster

Only dedicated front runner is maiden winner in last, #7, in very slow time. Not enthusiastic about that at all.

With all due respect Mike, i want to look closer at #2. Only 1 dirt route in slop, but was on lead and faded badly. Line 1 on turf was an attempt at a wire job but just missed. And I do not have a good turf to poly understanding at WO, but projecting to 8.5f in last would be 142.8 losing by about half L. Line two projected at 6.4/half furlong and adding two ticks to the internals shows losing by 1 in a final time of 143.7 pressing from 5th to 2nd while closing. So this one does not need lead but may get a BIG lead by default. The 2 beat the 1-9-4 in tandem handily.

The 3 is probably the FPLR running 7F in 1.22.9 losing by a neck. Projected pace and times are 46-110.6-123.1 and 142.3, closing 6-2-2 positionally and 6.5-2-nk otherwise. Has closed well in lines 2 and 4 and beat 4 and 9 in separate tandems, losing to he 6 in tandem 8 by 1/2 length. If I matched the 3 vs two off of sprints, I'd take the 3.

The 6 in last closed 11-3.7-4.1 against the fastest route pace in this field 46.7-111.6-143.6 losing by 5.8 L - could/should be closer today. Runs closer against slower paces than today and got run down by #3.

I take 3 to win, with 2 and 6 in exacta positions and maybe a smidge on the 2 as a 2nd win candidate.

Good luck to the gamblers,

Bill

I think

nice going Bill..Its hard to figure what a sprint line transform into, thats why I rather use same distances .

[lsosa54]

Richie always preaches to trust what first come's into your mind's eye and although it was your secondary bet, you did.

BTW, I think you put up the results for the previous race.

Rich: Exacta was 2-8

Originally Posted by Bill Lyster

Thanks, but this was just exercise from here. Cannot place a Woodbine bet from here. Nice to know that principles still work when you concentrate though,

Thanks Lou,

[Bill Lyster]

Mike: I agree about comparing the same distances and if there was no sprint to compare the 3 and 2 to this would have been more of a head scratcher.

Lou: I think your comments relate to the 7th race results, not this 6th race. Nice boxcar return in race 7 however at $38.80 to win. My smidge was for the 2 in race 6 who did not get into the fray.

Bill

[lsosa54]

You are absolutely right, Bill. I got home with 3 mins. to post before the 7th last night and watched, thinking that was the race Richie put up! Disregard all my comments! I need some sleep.