Pace question..

[lone speed]

Originally Posted by cl14

I'm new to the board and wanted to start with a general question i had that needed clarification on.

I've read Tom Brohamer's MPH - along with his 'original' in the library. In it, when making his models he talks about the races to stay away from (ie...the lowest claiming). He also says to stay away from the top races, so that those middle claiming up to allowance are in the sweet spot.

For Stakes races (any Grade), are the profiles applicable or since these horses are typically the 'best of the best' they can overcome a typical bias that lower class horses can't? Perhaps another way to ask it.. Are the same methods of using pace applicable in Stakes races but just in a different way?

Thanks.

Quick two cents....

From my own research, as one goes up the class levels to the top races, the pace analysis becomes of upmost importance. One really has to scrutinize the early matchup and analyze which horse has faced and who has overcame the fastest pace of race ...especially on traditional dirt races..on turf...horses who have the swiftest sustained moves are the best especially when they stretch out to longer distances. As Bradshaw mentioned here on this board, best sustained does not mean the horse who has closed the best, it can be an early pace sustained horse.

Use the power of the energy read outs....which horse controls the early fractions as determined by Sartin's read outs in energy. IMHO, the screen should be analyzed in depth before going to the final screens on final rankings. Analyze and determine who are the 100 horses who control each early fractions and what energy advantage they have to the next horse.

The methodology for attacking the races remains the same as prescribed by Doc Sartin many years ago, only the players have changed...

Good skills