Rich and Bill Race 032207

[Forego]

hi guys. i did the race on thoromation using the doc-shane method. thoromation has them finishing 6 and 3. exdc preplay has them finishing 6 and 1. sp preplay has them finishing 6 and 3.

my win bets will be the 6 and 3.

contenders are the 1356

[MIKE]

If you are using a program that's giving you wrong speed ratings because of a variant that was not designed for the program, then you wind up handicapping the program and not the races, or the horse.

[froggy]

There must be 18 ways to look at this race. Oops its post time, got to go.

Froggy

[kiltman]

Bill I take my hat off to you. I hope you had that 1 real good and the exacta.
Good Skill man.
Russ

[froggy]

And Bill wins again. $25.80 to win.

Not to shabby.

Froggy

[admin]

Yes it turned out real well

Val2006 did a great job for me
here is my bet from nj bets
win only on the 5 and WPS on the 1 !!!

[MIKE]

Nice hit Bill

[froggy]

Bill,

You were right in your decisions on the 5th at SA yesterday.
I have gone over the race about 30 times to see what I could learn or unlearn.

1.
I finally found the little figures at the upper right hand corner of each horses screen (EPS,R). I think that you are right in doing APV, I haven't been doing it.

2.
I am finding that when Preceptor II is used for the hides that it works better than going to the energy screen. (About 8% more winners in the top two.)

3.
Eliminate the two lowest EPS the 2 and 4.
Use Preceptor II and hide the 7, 8, and 9.

4.
We are now down to the 5, 1, 6, 3. In that order.

5.
Now I have just proved that I can get the winner the day after the race.
I plan to try it ahead of time today.

Thanks for the lesson Bill. I needed it.

Froggy

[admin]

Originally Posted by froggy

Bill,

You were right in your decisions on the 5th at SA yesterday.
I have gone over the race about 30 times to see what I could learn or unlearn.

1.
I finally found the little figures at the upper right hand corner of each horses screen (EPS,R). I think that you are right in doing APV, I haven't been doing it.

2.
I am finding that when Preceptor II is used for the hides that it works better than going to the energy screen. (About 8% more winners in the top two.)

3.
Eliminate the two lowest EPS the 2 and 4.
Use Preceptor II and hide the 7, 8, and 9.

4.
We are now down to the 5, 1, 6, 3. In that order.

5.
Now I have just proved that I can get the winner the day after the race.
I plan to try it ahead of time today.

Thanks for the lesson Bill. I needed it.

Froggy

Hi froggy
what your doing seems like a solid plan
I suppose I could save a little trouble and use the Earnings Per Start
numbers instead of calculating the APV CR
but in my head The work of looking at the W P S and earnings in the current and past year are giving nme more of a feel for each horse

looking at a figure of $1234 EPS is OK
but entering o wins 6 seconds 2 thirds and earnings of $21000
in a race today with a purse value of $47000 tells me this horse might
be in trouble with a .64 APV and 90 CR
Does that make sense??

Anyway as long as you get the winner
Thats the cool thing
GS
Bill

[shoeless]

Bill,As you have told me over and over NEVER COMPARE PROGRAMS.I agree with Richie stick to doing what you do best.Just because a program is new it doesnt make it any better.Jeff