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#21 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,654
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Bill, the #2 adjustment was only for legitimate contenders, not the entire field. Look at that energy spread. I'm fairly certain using the #2 adjustment would be wrong in this case. Don't you agree?
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#22 | |
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The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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2 adjust
Quote:
Hi David Yes I do. I will not enter a horse into Kgen unless I feel the horse is a contender. I pick my lines based on guidelines from the follow up and manuals pertenant to the time of these programs. Therefore when I am notified of the possiblity of the need for the 2 adjust I always will use it. In my last 7 races using KGEN I have been asked if I wanted to use the 2 adjust in 6 of those races I have used it and the winner was on the correct kgrah (based on the first preplay screen) 5 times. I feel my contender and pace line skills are fine so I will use the 2 adjust when I have to Now in this case I strickly was following FTL's request to enter his lines into a software. I was asked If I wanted to use the 2 adjust and I agreed This is all base on FTL's lines Bill |
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#23 |
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The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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My look
Hi
here are my lines I did this race Friday night I missed the race by 1/2 hour so I was very mad Using the last line for my contenders here is the Engen Here is the 2 adjust warning Here are the Kgraphs adjusted Here is the first Preplay screen The EXDC comes up first The 5 in the top 2 Last edited by Bill V.; 07-19-2009 at 12:19 PM. |
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#24 | |
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Grade 1
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Staten Island, NY
Posts: 3,952
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Quote:
__________________
Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack |
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#25 |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 1,292
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Thanks Mike, I understand matching. I guess I misread your post.
__________________
"It's suppose to be hard. If it was easy, everybody would do it." Jimmy Dugan, A League of Their Own |
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#26 | |
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Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 1,292
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Quote:
It seems to me, that although the total energy for the #1 and #7 horses is low, they are the pacemakers in this race as shown in the SP screen you first did for me. Also on that screen, the MP for the #2 horse shows it next to last. In fact, in the last race the #1 and #7 ran together and alternated the lead through the first two calls. By eliminating the #1 and #7, the #2 shows a clear lead (by default) on the EXDC and also as the winner, but my thought would be that this cannot be true with the #1 and #7 horses in the race. Although you may throw out the #1 and #7 from the 'win' for having low total energy, they clearly effect the pace of the race AND the outcome as you have shown.
__________________
"It's suppose to be hard. If it was easy, everybody would do it." Jimmy Dugan, A League of Their Own |
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