Canadagoose une bonne nuit à Mountaineer - Page 3 - Pace and Cap

mikesal57 · 09-19-2009, 07:23 AM

Yes FTL...That was a nice one...

also with that $33 winner in the 6th..2 horse betting got me the 5th and 7th races winners($11 & $8.60)

Now its back to work and I wont be home in the evening till Tues

good luck guys and see you then

mike

barb craven · 09-19-2009, 09:12 AM

hide
Hello Barb
In reference to one of FTL'd
Do you actually hide/scratch the favorite
Or do you I guess the better word would be
Ignore the fav or low odds horse

Back in the day I had great success working
races in the same manner as you are
I was able to watch the tote
And ignore horses with odds that would
pay less than 5/2
I would not hide them that is take them out
Of the match up but I would ignore them
And bet two other horses in my top 3-4
Blbl.
Best method I could recommend is what your
doing ...
Wish I had the time again
Bill

Bill You're right. I don't actually hide the favorite at less than 5/2, I'll take it out to see if the next tiers stay the same or change, then put it back in and ignore it if tier 2 or 3 are good enough odds to warrant a bet and will do a 2 horse bet or a win place, or pass if odds aren't good enough. For me if there is a strong favorite, the odds have to be 7/1 or better to bet against the favorite. After all, there's more than a 50% chance the favorite will lose.

RichieP · 11-28-2009, 07:21 AM

Barb has been hiding the favs when she has decided to play against for WIN. She has also been betting real cash which is great.
Her biggest win the last week or so was a 62 buck BOMB at Wdb where the winner was 5th tier but after HIDING the favorite who she definitely wanted to play against the winner jumped to tier THREE and at 30/1 was automatic bet for her.

Here are 2 race screen shots from yesterdays action along with her betting decisions that I got this morning.

I have attached the screen shot for Barb's 4th line $47.00 BOMB winner at Mnr. I would have liked to see her grab that big exacta too.
It is right there but no exacta bet was made.

Also attaching her notes/ comments to me. Trifectas Barb ha!

mikesal57 · 11-28-2009, 08:38 AM

Hi Guys..

These posts always makes me smile..

Just a short while ago , Barb knew nothing about horse racing...

and look at her now!!!

Rich ...another great project completed

Both of you should be proud...I love you both

Analysis:

Have you looked at when u hide the favorites that they are mostly lines 2-3 or maybe 4th down.....What happened in the last line...hmmm..has the horse gone off form and will it take some sort of time or a signal to show up for him to get back in form...is that line your using RED, can he duplicate it again..is it so far from his Green or Yellow lines that he wont ever do it again??
Epically doing lesser tracks, horses take more time to recover

has anyone did a analysis on this subject?

mike

barb craven · 11-28-2009, 08:49 AM

Hi Mike
The only thing I can say off the top of my head is that yes, the hide are often 3,4 or 5th down.

I've been watching these two tracks. They seem to run in cycles. Last week nothing came up in the top three or four, but the last three days, just put in the best of the last three lines from RDSS and they all show up in the top 5.

09-19-2009, 07:23 AM	#21
mikesal57 Grade 1 Join Date: May 2008 Location: Staten Island, NY Posts: 3,952	Yes FTL...That was a nice one... also with that $33 winner in the 6th..2 horse betting got me the 5th and 7th races winners($11 & $8.60) Now its back to work and I wont be home in the evening till Tues good luck guys and see you then mike __________________ Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack

11-28-2009, 07:21 AM	#23
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,019	Updated "Goose" / Has been betting real cash now Barb has been hiding the favs when she has decided to play against for WIN. She has also been betting real cash which is great. Her biggest win the last week or so was a 62 buck BOMB at Wdb where the winner was 5th tier but after HIDING the favorite who she definitely wanted to play against the winner jumped to tier THREE and at 30/1 was automatic bet for her. Here are 2 race screen shots from yesterdays action along with her betting decisions that I got this morning. I have attached the screen shot for Barb's 4th line $47.00 BOMB winner at Mnr. I would have liked to see her grab that big exacta too. It is right there but no exacta bet was made. Also attaching her notes/ comments to me. Trifectas Barb ha! Attached Images Last edited by RichieP; 11-28-2009 at 07:41 AM.

11-28-2009, 08:38 AM	#24
mikesal57 Grade 1 Join Date: May 2008 Location: Staten Island, NY Posts: 3,952	Hi Guys.. These posts always makes me smile.. Just a short while ago , Barb knew nothing about horse racing... and look at her now!!! Rich ...another great project completed Both of you should be proud...I love you both Analysis: Have you looked at when u hide the favorites that they are mostly lines 2-3 or maybe 4th down.....What happened in the last line...hmmm..has the horse gone off form and will it take some sort of time or a signal to show up for him to get back in form...is that line your using RED, can he duplicate it again..is it so far from his Green or Yellow lines that he wont ever do it again?? Epically doing lesser tracks, horses take more time to recover has anyone did a analysis on this subject? mike __________________ Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack

11-28-2009, 08:49 AM	#25
barb craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jul 2007 Location: Bobcaygeon,On,Canada Posts: 1,316	Hi Mike The only thing I can say off the top of my head is that yes, the hide are often 3,4 or 5th down. I've been watching these two tracks. They seem to run in cycles. Last week nothing came up in the top three or four, but the last three days, just put in the best of the last three lines from RDSS and they all show up in the top 5. __________________ Listen...Learn...Stay Safe.

09-19-2009, 09:12 AM	#22
barb craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jul 2007 Location: Bobcaygeon,On,Canada Posts: 1,316	hide Hello Barb In reference to one of FTL'd Do you actually hide/scratch the favorite Or do you I guess the better word would be Ignore the fav or low odds horse Back in the day I had great success working races in the same manner as you are I was able to watch the tote And ignore horses with odds that would pay less than 5/2 I would not hide them that is take them out Of the match up but I would ignore them And bet two other horses in my top 3-4 Blbl. Best method I could recommend is what your doing ... Wish I had the time again Bill Bill You're right. I don't actually hide the favorite at less than 5/2, I'll take it out to see if the next tiers stay the same or change, then put it back in and ignore it if tier 2 or 3 are good enough odds to warrant a bet and will do a 2 horse bet or a win place, or pass if odds aren't good enough. For me if there is a strong favorite, the odds have to be 7/1 or better to bet against the favorite. After all, there's more than a 50% chance the favorite will lose.