Anaylize This 9th Ct Friday - Page 4 - Pace and Cap

shoeless · 07-14-2006, 08:33 PM

Well guys I wasnt going to mention this but tomorrow I HIT THE BIG 55.So if you all dont mind I will name this race THE JEFF OLD MAN BIRTHDAY PURSE.If any of you could give an extra yell for the 8 I sure would appreciate it.

admin · 07-14-2006, 08:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RichieP

who the ONLY scratch in the race is?

Yup " Fooler"

I know nobody is gonna believe I didnt know that before I posted the above but I really didnt man.

it's right there in the pp's for all to see. the announced change of jock to a total nobody was the final nail in his coffin amigo's.

Rich who would have thought you would give a 2nd thought to a jockey

you have come a long way

shoeless · 07-14-2006, 09:08 PM

Since Im cutting out ex's for awhile I will play the pick 3

7TH-1,7

8TH-2,5,6

9TH-8

TOTAL-$12.OO

Houndog · 07-14-2006, 09:55 PM

Richie good observation on Fooler. Probably the 9 year old off of a 924 day layoff will win.

Anyhow I will go with #7 and #8.

RichieP · 07-14-2006, 11:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by shoeless

Well guys I wasnt going to mention this but tomorrow I HIT THE BIG 55.So if you all dont mind I will name this race THE JEFF OLD MAN BIRTHDAY PURSE.If any of you could give an extra yell for the 8 I sure would appreciate it.

Hey Happy Birthday Jeff!!

Many many more and make them all healthy too!

love,
Richie

shoeless · 07-15-2006, 12:04 AM

Richie,Thanks for the wishes,I really crapped out on that one.For that 2 horse I dont think I could have gotten him any higher off of his last 2 races.Jeff

shoeless · 07-15-2006, 12:12 AM

I think this shows it's tough playing CT with a computer program.You have the 7& 8 running against 46 and change 2nd calls and then you have the 2 running against 48 1\5 .Tough game here ,even using just the match up it would be hard..Jeff

Rxlawyer · 07-15-2006, 09:27 AM

Jeff:

One final thought on the 9th at CT. I was wondering about paceline selection on Terms. The horse seems to be a virtual "need to lead" early type horse and the lone early in the race. Looking at the past performances the horse only wins on the lead or very, very close to the lead. Otherwise, the horse folds. Was the last line the best line, especially when the horse was not on or very close to the lead? Look at where the horse did its best running (6.5f at CT, same as this race). Since the horse looks like it is coming in to form wouldn't it have been better to use a line where the horse was on the lead or very, very close to the lead in order to give it a fair chance in the program?

Gary

shoeless · 07-15-2006, 10:52 AM

Gary,YOU HIT THE NAIL RIGHT ON THE HEAD,this is my problem.In looking at the horses last 4 races the horse has been competeing against a half mile call of 48.1.You would have to go back to almost last year to get races where he ran against a 47.The 7&8 have been running against 46& change so therefore you wont show the 2 as a early horse.How do you combat this?Im going to see if Bill can put this horse up.Jeff

admin · 07-15-2006, 11:16 AM

Here are the pacelines from CT714race9
Spec160 original/adjusted

07-14-2006, 09:55 PM	#34
Houndog Grade 1 Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 1,258	Thanks Richie Richie good observation on Fooler. Probably the 9 year old off of a 924 day layoff will win. Anyhow I will go with #7 and #8.

07-15-2006, 11:16 AM	#40
admin Administrator Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,643	Pace lines Here are the pacelines from CT714race9 Spec160 original/adjusted Attached Images

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07-14-2006, 08:33 PM	#31
shoeless Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 4,651	Well guys I wasnt going to mention this but tomorrow I HIT THE BIG 55.So if you all dont mind I will name this race THE JEFF OLD MAN BIRTHDAY PURSE.If any of you could give an extra yell for the 8 I sure would appreciate it.

07-14-2006, 09:08 PM	#33
shoeless Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 4,651	Since Im cutting out ex's for awhile I will play the pick 3 7TH-1,7 8TH-2,5,6 9TH-8 TOTAL-$12.OO

07-15-2006, 12:04 AM	#36
shoeless Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 4,651	Richie,Thanks for the wishes,I really crapped out on that one.For that 2 horse I dont think I could have gotten him any higher off of his last 2 races.Jeff

07-15-2006, 12:12 AM	#37
shoeless Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 4,651	I think this shows it's tough playing CT with a computer program.You have the 7& 8 running against 46 and change 2nd calls and then you have the 2 running against 48 1\5 .Tough game here ,even using just the match up it would be hard..Jeff

07-15-2006, 09:27 AM	#38
Rxlawyer Grade 1 Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 212	Jeff: One final thought on the 9th at CT. I was wondering about paceline selection on Terms. The horse seems to be a virtual "need to lead" early type horse and the lone early in the race. Looking at the past performances the horse only wins on the lead or very, very close to the lead. Otherwise, the horse folds. Was the last line the best line, especially when the horse was not on or very close to the lead? Look at where the horse did its best running (6.5f at CT, same as this race). Since the horse looks like it is coming in to form wouldn't it have been better to use a line where the horse was on the lead or very, very close to the lead in order to give it a fair chance in the program? Gary

07-15-2006, 10:52 AM	#39
shoeless Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 4,651	Gary,YOU HIT THE NAIL RIGHT ON THE HEAD,this is my problem.In looking at the horses last 4 races the horse has been competeing against a half mile call of 48.1.You would have to go back to almost last year to get races where he ran against a 47.The 7&8 have been running against 46& change so therefore you wont show the 2 as a early horse.How do you combat this?Im going to see if Bill can put this horse up.Jeff