WOX 07-06-11 Race (4)

[Bill V.]

My 2 cents

Hi FTL When I'm in a good zone, That is I find myself in a good 20 race cycle
and I.m locked in to what ever Sartin program/Match Up, I happen to be working with.
I find even a lossed race can be a positive. If I can look at my self and my readouts and smile and say "stay the course" I have learned a important lesson from the methodology.

Risk to Reward

Bill V.

BTW thank you for your follow up comments about losing a body part for a win bet
That post troubled me when i read it. I feel much better now

[Dave Schwartz]

The idea is to win - at least for most people.

It is still a game of chance. Always will be. The fact that you have the advantage in your favor does not remove the element of chance.

This is a common misconception many people have about gambling. Even a card counter with an edge can go broke. Or a horse player.

In the old days bookmakers who took race bets were famous for going broke from time to time. Sports bets were much easier to balance because of the near-even payoffs.

I certainly realize that nobody is betting body parts. The point I believe you were making was to mentally raise the stakes, forcing better decisions. I am suggesting that this is not a good strategy.

A better strategy is to concentrate on getting better at deciding the difference between a good bet and a bad bet.

IMHO, a greater quantity of bets facilitates this better than a smaller, more exclusive type of decision process.

So, I am saying that I disagree with you completely. I am saying that what one wants is to become LESS discriminating rather than more so; to, essentially, increase one's sample size. To make as many bets in a week as one used to make in a month.

It accelerates the entire process. Once one has really developed their method to the point of satisfaction, THEN they may become more discriminating - to demand more of an edge. If you do that to begin with, then you have very few races to work with; to use for improvement.

[For The Lead]

Originally Posted by Dave Schwartz

The idea is to win - at least for most people.

It is still a game of chance. Always will be. The fact that you have the advantage in your favor does not remove the element of chance.

This is a common misconception many people have about gambling. Even a card counter with an edge can go broke. Or a horse player.

In the old days bookmakers who took race bets were famous for going broke from time to time. Sports bets were much easier to balance because of the near-even payoffs.

I certainly realize that nobody is betting body parts. The point I believe you were making was to mentally raise the stakes, forcing better decisions. I am suggesting that this is not a good strategy.

A better strategy is to concentrate on getting better at deciding the difference between a good bet and a bad bet.

IMHO, a greater quantity of bets facilitates this better than a smaller, more exclusive type of decision process.

So, I am saying that I disagree with you completely. I am saying that what one wants is to become LESS discriminating rather than more so; to, essentially, increase one's sample size. To make as many bets in a week as one used to make in a month.

It accelerates the entire process. Once one has really developed their method to the point of satisfaction, THEN they may become more discriminating - to demand more of an edge. If you do that to begin with, then you have very few races to work with; to use for improvement.

Like I said a couple of posts ago, I think we will just have to agree to disagree, but I do understand your point of view.

[Dave Schwartz]

Now that each's position is clear I am certainly fine with that.

Dave