The Hat Method and the "Mind's Eye"

[PeteC]

#3 Sus
#4 Sus
#5 Ear 22.7
#6 Sus
#7 Ear 21.4
#8 Pre
#9 Pre
#10 Pre
#11 Sus

Predict the race will run Early

[Bill Lyster]

Possible repeat of earlier post
3-S
4-S
5-E-22
6-P
7-E-21.4
8-P
9-P
10-P
11-P

Races goes early with #7 in command

bill

[VoodooFan]

#3 -Mailgram--------Sustained
#4- Possible --------Sustained
#5- Royal Diana-----Early --------(22)
#6- Lady On Holiday-Sustained
#7- Gloriously-------Early-------- (21.4)
#8- Liza Lu----------Sustained
#9- B R's Girl---------Presser
#10-Champagne Cookie-Sustained
#11-And a Cherry Tree-Sustained

Neither Early horses are fighters or will get their comfort lead.
The race will run Other-than-Early

VoodooFan

[billylump]

3-S
4-S
5-E 21.8, 22.2 Breaks on top
6-S
7-E 21.4 Broke 5th.
8-P
9-E 22.6 at Hollywood
10-E Currently No Form
11-P
Race goes early with #7 the winner

[azbacks]

3 -S
4 -S
5 -E 21.8
6 -S
7 -E 21.4
8 -P (last race)
9 -P (has some early tendencies)
10-P
11 -P

[RichieP]

Ok just a couple of comments please.

1) We will move to next step in a couple of days. Participation is excellent.

2) NOBODY has LOST more races than ME during the process of LEARNING the matchup. NOBODY and I lost them one on one with Jimmy. He told me early on that learning is IMPOSSIBLE without making mistakes.

3) Remember and keep in your head the IMPORTANCE of TRUSTING your FIRST instinct/feeling and ACTING on that right away.

Now go back and re read #3. Then do it again.

[cycling]

Late to the party But--
3 - S
4 - S
5 - E--22.7
6 - P
7 - E--21.4
8 - S
9 - P
10- P
11- S

[RichieP]

Step 3:

Now that you have a first fraction pace and have made a PRELIMINARY "mental call" on how the race will be won:

1) Keeping that first fraction in your head match the first 2 horses against one another focusing on races where that 1c pace existed. If a horse has not faced that pace throw him out. Remember that 1st call pace you have established by an early runner is a racer where the horse either WON or finished very close so you know it's real. So if a horse has not faced that pace OR faced it and done poorly THROW HIM OUT.

2) Keep the winner of that first matchup/throw the loser out and move to the next horse. Repeat the process.

3) Do this until you have reached the final 2 horse matchup. Post those 2 up please(who you have left)

If you would consider posting your process that would be great. Allows for feedback.
Richie

[lschofiel]

Rich,
From an outsiders prespective, I'd suggest the following for this thread:

1. Either redefine Early, Presser, and Sustained or post the link to the definitions.

2. Either redefine how to match-up the first two and continue through the field or post the link to the process.

3. Post what the results of step 1 should have been so users can see areas that need improvement in their own process. As each step is concluded, it would be helpful to show what you/HAT came up with.

Thanks
Larry

[lsosa54]

3-Mailgram S
4-Possible S
5-Royal Diana E 21.8 in the slop 22.0 on a fast track
6-Lady on Holiday S
7-Gloriously E 21.4
8-Liza Lu P
9-BR's Girl P (at this distance)
10-Champagne Coolie S (vs. winners)
11-And A Cherry Tree S (on a fast track)