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RDSS Racing Decision Support System – The Modern Sartin Methodology |
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08-30-2008, 01:09 PM | #21 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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sorry
Hi Clore
I just finished my workup so I have to step in here Race 10 Saratoga 9.0 Dirt Race Class 125 Looking over the APV and Class rating figures Curlin of course is way better than the field AP Arrow Devine Park Out of Control Wanderin Boy are next loose leaf Past the point and Dr DFC are probably out of this league Ok let start with Curlin I will use line 2 88 Speed Rating 118 Race class why not line 1? turf race tune up Why not line 3 No data NAD Next AP Arrow Line 2 79 speed rating 122 Race class why not line 1? just a bad race horse has not run well since NAD but since they put him in this race maybe he is feeling better Why not line 3 NAD no data Why not line 4 ? the 95 is the horses best ever this looks like a Ronald Regan good in the 80's special Not a 95 horse anymore workouts are ok only #4 Devine Park Line 1 85 Speed rating 117 race class line 3 91 Speed rating 114 race class why not line 2 ? 99 Speed rating 113 race class ? just a call But I am sure this is a fast horse so the added distance and class of Curlin makes me think a better than 85 or a match to the 91 on the inner AQU track is most likely # 2 Loose leaf Line 1 91 Speed rating 106 Race Class why not line 2? turf Why not line 3 7.0 78 Speed rating # 3 Past the point Line 1 84 speed rating 105 race class why not line 2 Turf Why not line 3 Kee Poly 8.5 faided non comparable track distance # 7 Out of control 83 TURF Speed Rating 120 race class all turf lines shows a 87 on the dirt 519 days ago Why not line 1 Turf distance 10.0 not comparable why not line 3 Turf distance 8.0 not comperable Here is something from Doc about using turf lines in dirt races "Turf Speed ratings are faster than dirt" So I will take a note of that when I see how the 7 rates noing his numbers are already faster # 8 Wandering Boy Line 1 7.0 dirt 93 Speed rating 112 race class first back off layoff exceelent race loves Saratoga Look at the 96 speed rating line 5 same distance why not line 2? 83 sy track 8.5 distance CD Why not line 3 8.3 sy track 77 speed rating why not line 4? bad race My look readouts and comments |
08-30-2008, 01:21 PM | #22 |
Match Up Apprentice
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 2,105
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Nice work Bill
I like Wandering Boy for a place and i think he will be my bet
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"To me, The Match Up supercedes everything" |
08-30-2008, 01:49 PM | #23 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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exacta
Hello Charlie
Thank You I will be rooting for you In the exacta contest I am going to bet 5 8 2 and 4 will be my tick horse GS Bill |
08-30-2008, 02:14 PM | #24 |
Grade 1
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Staten Island, NY
Posts: 3,952
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Thxs Bill...great job explaining using pace lines....
lets root em in.. mike
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Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack |
08-30-2008, 06:01 PM | #25 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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Result
The result
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"Grampy I'm talking to you!" |
08-30-2008, 06:06 PM | #26 |
Match Up Apprentice
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 2,105
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The "Champ" had a race there i reckon
__________________
"To me, The Match Up supercedes everything" |
08-31-2008, 08:32 AM | #27 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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[QUOTE Deleted[/QUOTE]
Uncalled for. Unnecessary. Cheap shot. Provoking. At some point civility/respect between you 2 hopefully will be found. Until then I ask respectfully to please consider stopping the public battle. Thanks Richie
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"Grampy I'm talking to you!" Last edited by Bill V.; 08-31-2008 at 08:47 AM. |
08-31-2008, 08:52 AM | #28 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Charlie
I watched the race from Del Mar The 3 was one tough horse When I saw the fractions I figured Curlin would be fine and either the 8 or the 2 would get second and I would have it The win on Curlin at 70/30 was not bad but he really earned going over 10 million nice race after all |
08-31-2008, 10:34 AM | #29 |
Match Up Apprentice
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 2,105
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Amazing stuff
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"To me, The Match Up supercedes everything" |
08-31-2008, 02:12 PM | #30 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Fhf
I will do what is best for everyone
Last edited by Bill V.; 08-31-2008 at 02:16 PM. |
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