Barb Craven - September - Pace and Cap

barb craven · 08-29-2012, 09:46 PM

See You September 7th.

barb craven · 08-31-2012, 10:35 AM

As I'm one of those that play in the moment and look for value, not necessarily the winner, I thought I would post my way of looking at a race at the beginning of the month. I tend to play the smaller tracks because the prices are better there, and as you will see as you read further, I don't eliminate down to the best five horses until after I have looked at all the RDSS screens because a good long shot might be missed . I don't usually post in here until about 5 mpt and make my bet at 0 mpt so it's impossible for me to put my reasoning down at that time.,
I start by using the automatic line selection, best of the last three perceptor, and then go over each horse to make sure that is the line I want to use. I use the adjusted speed rating to do this. I sometimes will go back more than three races to get the line I think best represents what I think the horse will do today. For that I take into consideration the number of days back the line is. I'm looking for what he can do on similar distance and surface. I like to see it within 90 days but if he has worked out I will go back a little further. For turf, I will take his best line, within reason, but will go back further if I have to.
After I have the lines picked, I let RDSS take over. I look first at the POH screen. For the sprints, I pay attention to F#1&2, SC and TS, for routes I look more at F#3 and DCL. Next I look at the energy screen. Here I look at the Energy, FX, E/EP and TPP for sprints and Energy, FW, L/EP and TPP for routes. Unlike most I skip over the TPR screen to the Segments and look at the CBL and if it is a route, also the incremental matchup. Then in Primary I eliminate down to 5, sometimes I'm able to get to 4 or 3, then on to BL. I am a colour person, so on this screen I look for the hoses with the most red and green as I have been doing all along with all the other screens, This time I pay attention also to the collaries as well as I have found them to be a very powerful reinforcement.
Now to decide who to bet on. If there is a strong early favourite and another who looks like might be equally strong, but coming in late, I will bet against the favourite and put a win, place on the next one, especially if it is in my third BL tier which I have found for me wins more often than not. If there are two horses I like, I will bet them both to win. Lately I have found a new thing to look for, coming from Rev. Bert, who looks for patterns in everything. We found that if you see a pattern of yellows show up at Finger Lakes, that horse will be in the money and often win.
There is probably more I could add to this, but this is the general way I do things. Having explained the way I do a race, all you will see in the September contest is the screen shots, more than one if I have time, but of course at least one.
Good skill everyone.

pilot · 09-02-2012, 04:54 PM

Hi Barb, thanks for that great post.

Wayne

barb craven · 09-02-2012, 07:57 PM

Hi back Wayne. Thanks a lot.

pilot · 09-02-2012, 07:59 PM

You're welcome Barb

Wayne

barb craven · 09-15-2012, 12:08 PM

R1
$60w #3; $40w #2
I should probably go with the 6 if I was doing it the Bert M way, but we'll see.
Name: FL r1.jpg
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Size: 77.7 KB

barb craven · 09-15-2012, 12:42 PM

R8
$60 w #9
$40 w #1
Name: FL r8.jpg
Views: 346
Size: 85.0 KB

barb craven · 09-16-2012, 02:44 PM

R6 $60 w #3, $40 w #2

barb craven · 09-16-2012, 03:35 PM

Race 8
$60w #3
$40 p #3

barb craven · 09-16-2012, 04:31 PM

R6 $50 w #6
$25 w,p #5

09-02-2012, 07:57 PM	#4
barb craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jul 2007 Location: Bobcaygeon,On,Canada Posts: 1,308	Hi back Wayne. Thanks a lot. __________________ Listen...Learn...Stay Safe.

09-15-2012, 12:42 PM	#7
barb craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jul 2007 Location: Bobcaygeon,On,Canada Posts: 1,308	Fl 9/15 R8 $60 w #9 $40 w #1 __________________ Listen...Learn...Stay Safe.

09-16-2012, 02:44 PM	#8
barb craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jul 2007 Location: Bobcaygeon,On,Canada Posts: 1,308	Prx 06/17 R6 $60 w #3, $40 w #2 __________________ Listen...Learn...Stay Safe. Last edited by barb craven; 09-16-2012 at 02:45 PM. Reason: WRONG RACE

09-16-2012, 04:31 PM	#10
barb craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jul 2007 Location: Bobcaygeon,On,Canada Posts: 1,308	Ap 9/17 R6 $50 w #6 $25 w,p #5 __________________ Listen...Learn...Stay Safe.

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08-29-2012, 09:46 PM	#1
barb craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jul 2007 Location: Bobcaygeon,On,Canada Posts: 1,308	Barb Craven - September See You September 7th. __________________ Listen...Learn...Stay Safe.

08-31-2012, 10:35 AM	#2
barb craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jul 2007 Location: Bobcaygeon,On,Canada Posts: 1,308	My Way As I'm one of those that play in the moment and look for value, not necessarily the winner, I thought I would post my way of looking at a race at the beginning of the month. I tend to play the smaller tracks because the prices are better there, and as you will see as you read further, I don't eliminate down to the best five horses until after I have looked at all the RDSS screens because a good long shot might be missed . I don't usually post in here until about 5 mpt and make my bet at 0 mpt so it's impossible for me to put my reasoning down at that time., I start by using the automatic line selection, best of the last three perceptor, and then go over each horse to make sure that is the line I want to use. I use the adjusted speed rating to do this. I sometimes will go back more than three races to get the line I think best represents what I think the horse will do today. For that I take into consideration the number of days back the line is. I'm looking for what he can do on similar distance and surface. I like to see it within 90 days but if he has worked out I will go back a little further. For turf, I will take his best line, within reason, but will go back further if I have to. After I have the lines picked, I let RDSS take over. I look first at the POH screen. For the sprints, I pay attention to F#1&2, SC and TS, for routes I look more at F#3 and DCL. Next I look at the energy screen. Here I look at the Energy, FX, E/EP and TPP for sprints and Energy, FW, L/EP and TPP for routes. Unlike most I skip over the TPR screen to the Segments and look at the CBL and if it is a route, also the incremental matchup. Then in Primary I eliminate down to 5, sometimes I'm able to get to 4 or 3, then on to BL. I am a colour person, so on this screen I look for the hoses with the most red and green as I have been doing all along with all the other screens, This time I pay attention also to the collaries as well as I have found them to be a very powerful reinforcement. Now to decide who to bet on. If there is a strong early favourite and another who looks like might be equally strong, but coming in late, I will bet against the favourite and put a win, place on the next one, especially if it is in my third BL tier which I have found for me wins more often than not. If there are two horses I like, I will bet them both to win. Lately I have found a new thing to look for, coming from Rev. Bert, who looks for patterns in everything. We found that if you see a pattern of yellows show up at Finger Lakes, that horse will be in the money and often win. There is probably more I could add to this, but this is the general way I do things. Having explained the way I do a race, all you will see in the September contest is the screen shots, more than one if I have time, but of course at least one. Good skill everyone. __________________ Listen...Learn...Stay Safe.

09-02-2012, 04:54 PM	#3
pilot Grade 2 Join Date: Dec 2005 Posts: 92	Hi Barb, thanks for that great post. Wayne

09-02-2012, 07:59 PM	#5
pilot Grade 2 Join Date: Dec 2005 Posts: 92	You're welcome Barb Wayne

09-15-2012, 12:08 PM	#6
barb craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jul 2007 Location: Bobcaygeon,On,Canada Posts: 1,308	Fl 9/15 R1 $60w #3; $40w #2 I should probably go with the 6 if I was doing it the Bert M way, but we'll see. __________________ Listen...Learn...Stay Safe.

09-16-2012, 03:35 PM	#9
barb craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jul 2007 Location: Bobcaygeon,On,Canada Posts: 1,308	Prx 9/17 Race 8 $60w #3 $40 p #3 __________________ Listen...Learn...Stay Safe.