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Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems |
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07-13-2023, 06:26 PM | #1 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,705
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"Monkey"says see what you missed, $44.40 & $18.00
I decided to post some picks today as some newbies may not believe my winners and what to hell.
After posting a couple races I took a look and had one view for the post and came to the conclusion my time would be better spent on doing the races. I was doing them as they came along and couldn.t put them all up prior. When doing that I try to stay 1 race ahead for the DD. "The Monkey" darts landed on the following: 4 double digit winners, $44.40, $18.00, $17.80 & $16.00 7 DD Best $203.00 for $1.00 & $62.50 Could have taken down some P3 and huge P4 & P5. Well, I'll get them later. Picks are getting viewed after the fact. I remember a couple years ago Lt 1 and I put up PRX picks every day for almost 2 months, and we slaughtered them. All prior to the races going off and plenty of time to bet them. Oh well that ship has sailed! Summary Number of Bets 33 Win Percentage 42.42% ROI 171.52% Wagered $250.00 Payoff $678.80 Profit/Loss $428.80 Mitch44 AKA "The Monkey" |
07-13-2023, 06:29 PM | #2 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,705
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You can learn a lot from someone's betting, nice money for small bets. Here were my bets:
COMPLETED:68d9f-50a23 SAR #10 $1 Exacta 8, 9, 12, 14, WT, 8, 9, 12, 14 none $12.00 $0.00 - $12.00 COMPLETED:062ec-e2ff3 SAR #10 $4 Win 8, 9, 12, 14 none $16.00 $36.00 + $20.00 COMPLETED:00913-e2970 SAR #9 $3 Win 2, 5 none $6.00 $66.60 + $60.60 COMPLETED:656f0-7dee5 SAR #9 $1 Double 1, 2, 5, 7, WT, 8, 9, 12, 14 none $16.00 $203.00 + $187.00 COMPLETED:fceda-eff02 SAR #9 $1 Double 1, 2, 5, 7, WT, 12 none $4.00 $0.00 - $4.00 COMPLETED:1f813-be94e SAR #9 $3 Win 1, 2, 5 none $9.00 $66.60 + $57.60 COMPLETED:75943-8aa7c SAR #8 $1 Double 4, 5, 9, WT, 1, 2, 5, 7 none $12.00 $62.25 + $50.25 COMPLETED:61764-173b7 SAR #8 $2 Exacta 4, 5, WT, 9 none $4.00 $0.00 - $4.00 COMPLETED:90321-f7f83 SAR #8 $2 Exacta 9, WT, 4, 5 none $4.00 $0.00 - $4.00 COMPLETED:9fc8e-13af4 SAR #8 $4 Win 5, 9 none $8.00 $0.00 - $8.00 COMPLETED:aca57-8f5fe SAR #7 $1 Double 1, 7, 9, WT, 4, 5, 9 none $9.00 $33.00 + $24.00 COMPLETED:0d9bb-d5146 SAR #7 $2 Exacta 1, 9, WT, 1, 7, 9 none $8.00 $0.00 - $8.00 COMPLETED:5295f-b323d SAR #7 $2 Exacta 7, WT, 1, 9 none $4.00 $0.00 - $4.00 COMPLETED:23ed2-21883 SAR #7 $3 Win 1, 9 none $6.00 $24.00 + $18.00 COMPLETED:16f92-4587a SAR #7 $4 Win 7 none $4.00 $0.00 - $4.00 COMPLETED:40ebe-54ed5 SAR #6 $1 Double 2, 5, 6, WT, 1, 7, 9 none $9.00 $54.50 + $45.50 COMPLETED:a3ba7-f4a59 SAR #6 $2 Exacta 2, 6, WT, 5 none $4.00 $0.00 - $4.00 COMPLETED:a1698-b94b8 SAR #6 $3 Exacta 5, WT, 2, 6 none $6.00 $0.00 - $6.00 COMPLETED:63d0e-9e866 SAR #6 $4 Win 5, 6 none $8.00 $17.60 + $9.60 COMPLETED:c9131-3859b SAR #5 $1 Double 2, 7, 9, WT, 2, 5, 6 none $9.00 $17.90 + $8.90 COMPLETED:7ef6e-27c69 SAR #5 $1 Exacta 2, 6, 9, WT, 7 none $3.00 $0.00 - $3.00 COMPLETED:6adda-9ec62 SAR #5 $2 Exacta 7, WT, 2, 6, 9 none $6.00 $0.00 - $6.00 COMPLETED:d2275-cda37 SAR #5 $0.50 Trifecta 7, 9, WT, 2, 6, 7, 9, WT, 2, 6, 7, 8, 9 none $9.00 $0.00 - $9.00 COMPLETED:c2271-dc51e SAR #5 $3 Win 9 none $3.00 $0.00 - $3.00 COMPLETED:0fc66-94127 SAR #5 $4 Win 7 none $4.00 $0.00 - $4.00 COMPLETED:611d9-967e7 SAR #4 $2 Double 4, 5, 6, WT, 6, 7, 9 none $18.00 $0.00 - $18.00 COMPLETED:f722d-fd437 SAR #4 $3 Win 4, 6 none $6.00 $0.00 - $6.00 COMPLETED:4b355-10430 SAR #3 $2 Win 1, 4 none $4.00 $0.00 - $4.00 COMPLETED:cd269-d9bd9 SAR #3 $3 Win 3, 7 none $6.00 $26.70 + $20.70 COMPLETED:b3341-edbf0 SAR #3 $1 Double 1, 3, 4, 7, WT, 4, 5, 6 none $12.00 $20.20 + $8.20 COMPLETED:271ed-d1fb1 SAR #2 $1 Double 3, 7, 9, WT, 1 none $3.00 $0.00 - $3.00 COMPLETED:61e9a-4ace7 SAR #2 $1 Double 3, 7, 9, WT, 3, 4, 7 none $9.00 $41.00 + $32.00 COMPLETED:bac22-21444 SAR #2 $3 Win 3, 7, 9 none $9.00 $9.45 + $0.45 Mitch44 |
07-13-2023, 07:03 PM | #3 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 9,163
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Wow nice work big guy. Rumor has it that the monkey wants a new contract.
Tim
__________________
Trust but verify |
07-13-2023, 07:21 PM | #4 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2020
Location: Vermont
Posts: 134
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Great work Mitch, what data got you to include the fts in race 9?
Jim |
07-13-2023, 07:50 PM | #5 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: Maple Ridge, B.C. Canada
Posts: 3,179
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Boy Mitch I was getting dizzy reviewing your daily betting summary!!
Thanks for dispelling the idea that you never make a losing bet, but with a hit rate like this one hard fly even notices them. LONG LIVE THE GASHOUSE GANG Darryl |
07-14-2023, 09:30 AM | #6 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,705
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Thanks Tim and the rumor is correct that "The Monkey" wants a new contract. Thankfully I'm both his manager and agent and my cuts are very high, actually he's working for peanuts, well really bananas.
I may force him to honor his present contract and see how he handles it. He'll be taken care of with contractual extra bonuses. Ha Ha ha Mitch44 |
07-14-2023, 09:43 AM | #7 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,705
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Thanks Darryl, yes, we all lose races but it's how you play the game. Picking winners isn't
really that important, it's how you play the game or end up. I've had cycles of 70 & 80% and not make decent money. I drugged "The Monkey" yesterday as I had him on oxygen to prevent brain fog. He's getting addicted to it. Glad its legal . . . Ha ha ha Mitch44 |
07-14-2023, 02:01 PM | #8 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,705
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57viking, Jim, to answer your question.
I knew the trainer from over 25 years ago, he used to train at NY tracks and was very proficient. He took a job w/ Bright View Fams in NJ not far from where I lived and passed by everyday going to and from work. I thought at the time it was a step down because they didn't have big horses on the National scene. They specialized in State Breds and led the State each year winning a million dollars plus each year. At the time I was studying trainers to find their whole card for profits. Made some big money with it but the more trainers I accumulated it didn't work out. Too many in a race were making their move and they couldn't be separated. It was then I realized the most important thing was the horse and its ability. I still use some data on trainers but don't collect it and pay more attention to the horse's ability. It's all about the horse, even the best trainers are losing 4 out of 5 races. Many NY's probably forgot about this guy and SAR gets a lot of tourists, thus the price. He knew what he had. He had stamina workouts and my w/o angle also. Mitch44 Last edited by Mitch44; 07-14-2023 at 02:05 PM. |
07-14-2023, 02:13 PM | #9 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2020
Location: Vermont
Posts: 134
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Thanks Mitch for the great response. Jim
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11-28-2023, 11:56 AM | #10 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar"
Posts: 2,418
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Delmar last Saturday
Mitch:
Don't know if you saw this, but very nice maiden win. The 11 wins @ 33/1 and the 9 places @7.8. $68.00, 27.00 win and place and $1 exacta paid $221. I bet small on both to win. They are out there if you look for them. Both had good gate works. Bill |
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