9/25 - Pace and Cap

mikesal57 · 09-25-2009, 11:53 AM

Playing around with RDSS for the 1st at Monmouth

looking at the results from yesterday..I see maybe a closer bias with sprints
OTE was winning with a 45+ 46+ and a 47+ half miles

I put a good line in for the #8 to see where he fits...the best line wasnt dominating so I will say he will be with the early pace mix and toss him

# 1 showed speed last but nothing in PP for a winning line..early mix...out
# 2 probably the fav, but has shown good race/ bad race pattern last was good..in???
# 3 last 3 races poor and his maiden win ..nothing...out
# 4 bad start in last , but is usually a early horse..out
# 5 3rd off layoff, was a decent horse june & july, but has shown nothing in last 2....out
# 6 shown speed in slop last out...nothing prior...out
# 7 out of the clouds closer..plus most of this field has beaten him...out
# 8 early mix..out
# 9 in form closer ,won last moving up..won vs 45.3 & 46.0...in

left with 2 & 9..PP attached

probably bet the 9

gl

mike

mikesal57 · 09-25-2009, 12:57 PM

the out of the clouds "other " closer beat me

the times were 23.1 46.4 and off the pacers are in there...so watch out!!

mikesal57 · 09-25-2009, 01:30 PM

last race for me ..

Mon 3rd...enough speed here..so let go with the closers..

3 & 5

mikesal57 · 09-25-2009, 01:52 PM

came in exactly...7-3-5...

but the 7 was DQ'd.........

#3 ..$9.80

but 3-7-5 TRI $648....

mike

Tim Y · 09-25-2009, 02:23 PM

woodbine 4th

Barclay Tagg is sending a horse to a race here from new jersey on Sunday????

Tim Y · 09-25-2009, 02:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tim y

Woodbine 4th

barclay tagg is sending a horse to a race here from new jersey on sunday????

5/3/4/7

Tim Y · 09-25-2009, 02:46 PM

in Woodbine turfer sprint 5th

mikesal57 · 09-25-2009, 02:54 PM

The bias continues...eliminating earlies...WOW

Tim Y · 09-25-2009, 03:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tim y

In woodbine turfer sprint 5th

9/4/1/2 didn't think it would go 6/1

Tim Y · 09-25-2009, 03:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mikesal57

The bias continues...eliminating earlies...WOW

KEEP TRACK of the e/l through the entire program to see if there is ACTUALLY a bias versus what MIGHT be a visual one.

VISUAL ones are the result of wishful thinking usually. Overlaying a pattern on what that really is not there.

09-25-2009, 12:57 PM	#2
mikesal57 Grade 1 Join Date: May 2008 Location: Staten Island, NY Posts: 3,952	the out of the clouds "other " closer beat me the times were 23.1 46.4 and off the pacers are in there...so watch out!! __________________ Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack

09-25-2009, 01:52 PM	#4
mikesal57 Grade 1 Join Date: May 2008 Location: Staten Island, NY Posts: 3,952	came in exactly...7-3-5... but the 7 was DQ'd......... #3 ..$9.80 but 3-7-5 TRI $648.... mike __________________ Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack

09-25-2009, 02:23 PM	#5
Tim Y turf historian Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 6,455	woodbine 4th Barclay Tagg is sending a horse to a race here from new jersey on Sunday???? __________________ Albert Einstein:"The monotony and solitude of a quiet life stimulates the creative mind."

09-25-2009, 02:46 PM	#7
Tim Y turf historian Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 6,455	in Woodbine turfer sprint 5th __________________ Albert Einstein:"The monotony and solitude of a quiet life stimulates the creative mind."

09-25-2009, 01:30 PM	#3
mikesal57 Grade 1 Join Date: May 2008 Location: Staten Island, NY Posts: 3,952	last race for me .. Mon 3rd...enough speed here..so let go with the closers.. 3 & 5 Attached Images __________________ Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack

09-25-2009, 02:54 PM	#8
mikesal57 Grade 1 Join Date: May 2008 Location: Staten Island, NY Posts: 3,952	The bias continues...eliminating earlies...WOW Attached Images __________________ Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack