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Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems |
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05-06-2017, 12:47 PM | #1 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Kentucky Derby Race 12 5/6/17 G1 2,000000
We all know the horses
So here are my top 5 TPRs If I get good enough odds I will be betting the 5, 7 and 14 Looking to betting 5.7 and 14 if I get over 4 to 1 on Empire #14 Patch #20 rates well but other than Big Brown who can win from post 20? Last edited by Bill V.; 05-06-2017 at 12:52 PM. |
05-06-2017, 01:12 PM | #2 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 1,678
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Agree on the 7 & 14 but will also put in the 16 - I'm excusing the last race because of a bad start.
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05-06-2017, 02:21 PM | #3 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: pittsburgh, now! Lancaster, CA.
Posts: 2,531
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14-17-18 in my selections
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i love every single minute of life, and, if one is lucky,then you must give it to others. |
05-06-2017, 03:47 PM | #4 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada
Posts: 2,539
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Marathon Method in the Derby.
Top 5 and positions #5 Always Dreaming 94.9 1st #8 Hence 95.7 1st #19 Practical Joke 94.7 2nd #6 State of Honor 94.9 3rd #18 Gormley 95.9 3rd Yesterday in the Oaks the top filly had a 95.9. In the Derby today the slowest horse in the top five has 95.9 with the best being a 94.7. Three year old fillies are about one full second slower than three year old colts on average at this point. In order...5,8,19,6,18 Wait for odds. Pook |
05-06-2017, 05:29 PM | #5 |
Grade 2
Join Date: Sep 2015
Posts: 97
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Project pace mid 46 - mid to hi 110
5, 6, 11, 17, 3 all gonna be thinking about the front Looking for OTE Like the 8 for the same reason liked conquest mo money in ark derby. 8 won against a 45.7-110.2 - from way back which is of some concern with big field. Also like the 18 who beat the 11 who set a 46.6 -110.9 which I called the FPLR & based projected pace. Big odds maybe bet wp 8 & 18...both have won on the wet too fwiw |
05-06-2017, 05:54 PM | #6 |
AlwNW3X
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 34
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Thunder Snow
Like Ted, I like Thunder Snow. The horse won at 9.5 furlongs on a muddy track at Meyden. These horses have not travelled well in the past, but this one has class. Maybe?
I also have him and three other horses coupled with the Oaks winner in the Oaks/Derby double so I would love to see him win. |
05-06-2017, 06:10 PM | #7 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Ted and WhiteJC1
I like your bold choice of the 2
i wish everybody makes money on the big race So I am rooting for the foreign invader. currently at 16/1 However, Doc said many times that the Kentucky Derby is unlike any other race. He even says never use a derby paceline. With all the unknowns these 3-year-olds are facing today, and now throw in a shipper running for the first time in the USA. Plus lousy post #2 Well, Let's root for this outsider for you guys. I'm staying with the 7 and 14. The 5 is currently 9/2 so I have not made up my mind yet on that one Good Skill Bill |
05-06-2017, 03:36 PM | #8 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
Posts: 8,854
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Quote:
2-14-5-7 Good luck! Ted
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RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™ |
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05-06-2017, 03:38 PM | #9 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Largo Fl.
Posts: 2,295
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Derby
13-14-17
bob |
05-06-2017, 05:25 PM | #10 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: CAMBRIDGE,MA
Posts: 1,035
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My top four
17-15-16-14 |
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