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Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems |
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08-17-2021, 06:15 PM | #1 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Sep 2016
Posts: 606
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Canterbury Park, r4, 8/17/21
Canterbury Park, r4, 8/17/21: 7.5f on Turf, Allowance for NW3, post 7:40 pm EDT
Starting with pace lines and observations: 1 -- L1 (July 3): switches dirt to turf, route to sprint, first race after 45 day layoff, BUT has top ranked last race speed rating and strong Fr1 2 -- L1 (july 11): jockey switch, has never gone this far, seems to be going out of form, lowest ranked trainer in field 3 -- try L2 (jun 22) and L3 (june 2): positive jockey switch, BUT seems to be going out of form, no workouts since raced 40 days ago 4 -- L1 (july 18): switches route to sprint, no workouts since raced 30 days ago, BUT has top ranked trainer in field 5 -- L2 (jun 3): switches dirt to turf, route to sprint, has been running in stakes, 4th race after layoff, quality workout since last raced, BUT lowest ranked jockey in field 6 -- L1 (july 8): jockey switch to top jockey in field, quality workout since last raced 7 -- try L1 (july 8) and L2 (june 22): very slow early, might be too slow to win, BUT strong Fr3 8 -- SCRATCHED 9 -- L1 (july 8): third race after layoff, top last race speed fig, BUT slow Fr1 10 -- try L1 (july 18) and L2 (july4): switches route to sprint, quality workout since last raced. MATCHUP: 5, 2 and 4 battle for the lead, will be pressed by 6, with 3 and 9 closing WIN CONTENDERS: 9,4,5,7, LONGSHOT CONTENDER: 1 BET STRUCTURE: win bets 4,7, ex 5/1,2,4,6,9, ex 9/1,3,4,5,7, small win bet on 1 Good luck Richard |
08-17-2021, 06:41 PM | #2 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Mar 2010
Posts: 3,489
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lines:
1: 9 2: 2 3: 3 4: 10 5: 2 6: 1 7: 2 8: 4 9: 1 10: 1 Contenders: 4-5-9-3 |
08-17-2021, 07:30 PM | #3 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 9,158
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Good luck Richard.
Tim
__________________
Trust but verify |
08-17-2021, 07:33 PM | #4 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Largo Fl.
Posts: 2,295
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Cby
R4 4-5-9-10 4/5-9-10 5-9-10/4
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08-17-2021, 07:47 PM | #5 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Largo Fl.
Posts: 2,295
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08-17-2021, 07:53 PM | #6 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Sep 2016
Posts: 606
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Results: 10-5-6-7
Nice forward move by the 10, not on my radar for this race. Richard |
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