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10-02-2018, 02:43 PM | #1 |
Grade 3
Join Date: Aug 2018
Location: Westbrook, Maine
Posts: 63
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Parx 5th 10-2
Not much time still not use to attaching screens I'm, looking at either3-6-1 or 1-6-3 any takers? ended up #7 something I missed?
Last edited by navyvet1994; 10-02-2018 at 02:50 PM. Reason: added the winner |
10-02-2018, 06:42 PM | #2 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 9,158
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Hey Navy I did work that race today. My final contender tiers were 6-1-3-7. The 7 went off at even money. I had looked for reason to move horses up or down but found none. So being tiered 4th and even money there was no way to play it. Just chalk it up to a race you didn't win and move on. Dwelling on these types of loses will mess up the rest of the day and skew your evaluation of other races.
Tim
__________________
Trust but verify |
10-02-2018, 06:48 PM | #3 |
Grade 3
Join Date: Aug 2018
Location: Westbrook, Maine
Posts: 63
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What you did LT was actually confirm what I had I started with the 6-1-3 didn't like the way the bet was going . I did not bet it. I did bat the one that that 45-1 shot came out of nowhere and won. I had moved that horse to secondary. I am doing it sort of right. Just a bad PARX day. OH well working a Freebie contest tomorrow over at Belmont. Still schooling myself. Playing in 2010 right now. Good education.
Last edited by navyvet1994; 10-02-2018 at 06:50 PM. Reason: misspelling dammit |
10-03-2018, 07:05 AM | #4 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Horses
Hi Navy
I did not make wins bets on this race because of issues with lines 1 and 2 I had to work this race because it was the first leg of the pick 4 I also got the 7 ranked 4th So I went 4 deep and hit this leg. Here are my notes My look Horse 1 Right away I have problems here, Line 1 is a (+) on a very fast DTV -28 on an off track, I am forced to use this line. Looking at the EPR and LPR balance of lines 2 and 4 tells me not to use these 7-furlong races because it will give me a bad LPR rating. It won its MSW at Parx with a 95.5 EPR and 79.1 LPR which is a better balance for today's 6-furlong distance. Horse 2 Here is another problem. I want to use line 2 but that line is incomplete with no second call I happen to have been doing some races for a member teaching him Entropy So I had entered line 2. I estimated the second call to be 46.4 based on what it usually runs against. from the other calls, I excused line 1 because of the off track. Horse 3 Line 1 is a plus pace line winning race at Saratoga Line 1 Horse 4 no line Horse 5 Line 3 is a recent plus paceline. Line 1 and 2 are excused, This horse is a claimer. It won its maiden against maiden claimers 10,000 which is the bottom level at PRX Line 3 is against restricted 12,500 claimers. Horse 6 Line 1 is a plus + winning race 38 days ago He shows two good works including 1 at 5 furlongs since that win. Horse 7 All three of his last 3 races are plus + Line 3 is 95 days old from GP against CL 30,000 open were today is a restricted CL25,000 So he is dropping in class Line 3, excusing two plus races that were on off tracks Hotse 8 Line 1 Is a winning plus paceline against AL50,000 state breds at MTH Line 1 |
10-03-2018, 07:21 AM | #5 |
Grade 3
Join Date: Aug 2018
Location: Westbrook, Maine
Posts: 63
|
we were pretty much on the same page. I did not bet I just didn't like what I saw. So i pulled the right lines, now it's just a matter of finding the right horse. That'll take time I'm not going to officially start putting money down until the 11th and I'm using the old 2010 and some 2012 as my teaching tools.
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