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07-30-2009, 03:18 PM | #11 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
Posts: 8,854
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Quote:
1. are there other, sprint lines which confirm the energy distribution extrapolated from the route. In this case (see RDSS E/L screenshot above) the 2 other sprints for the winner confirm it is the latest of all the runners, confirmed by the several top L/ep readouts for the same horse. Although the Total Enrgy is low, it is consistently distributed late (route or sprint), for whatever use can be made of those facts today. 2. Has it run well (or at least forwardly) in sprints before (ever?) 3. Longer odds are insurance against failure this time, and permit you to bet an entry along with another horse and still get decent net odds. I would be leery of making such a horse a bet based only on the extracted route. As I mentioned (and I think I am agreeing with FTL's comments), this horse was an unlikely candidate to win and might have been bet (at least by me) only out of a side bankroll or portfolio. But perhaps a timely and temporary E/L profile benefitted it (and some fairy dust...). (Apologies for mixing RDSS examples in this Speculator Forum - it's the same info, and it's what I have handy. The E/L discussion transcends software used, though.) Ted
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RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™ Last edited by Ted Craven; 07-30-2009 at 03:20 PM. |
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