Saratoga recap - Pace and Cap

gandalf380 · 08-30-2021, 01:27 PM

After 34 days with 6 remaining, I am fairly happy with my results in the paper so far.

346 races handicapped
109 top choices won
40 second choices won
37 third choices won

top choice wins 32% of the time
second and third choice won 22% of the time (which means I have the winner listed 54% of the time.

My top choice shows a ROI of .92 (1.00 is break even).

The handicapping was done a day and a half in advance without knowledge of track conditions and scratches. It also includes jumping races and maiden races.

Lt1 · 08-30-2021, 01:48 PM

Excellent work as always Charlie.
Tim

Mitch44 · 08-31-2021, 09:42 AM

Excellent results Charlie. Is this your best year yet? A much more difficult task 2 days ahead that's for sure.

Best of health to you and Missy.

Mitch44

darmar · 08-31-2021, 09:50 AM

Smooth and steady wins the race. Congrats Charlie
Darryl

rmath · 08-31-2021, 10:02 AM

Very good results Charlie under difficult conditions.
Good luck with the final few days.

Richatd

08-30-2021, 01:27 PM	#1
gandalf380 Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: central islip ny Posts: 1,091	Saratoga recap After 34 days with 6 remaining, I am fairly happy with my results in the paper so far. 346 races handicapped 109 top choices won 40 second choices won 37 third choices won top choice wins 32% of the time second and third choice won 22% of the time (which means I have the winner listed 54% of the time. My top choice shows a ROI of .92 (1.00 is break even). The handicapping was done a day and a half in advance without knowledge of track conditions and scratches. It also includes jumping races and maiden races. __________________ Check out my daily picks for Saratoga in the Saratoga Special http://www.thisishorseracing.com

08-30-2021, 01:48 PM	#2
Lt1 Grade 1 Join Date: Apr 2012 Location: Valley Stream NY Posts: 9,162	Excellent work as always Charlie. Tim __________________ Trust but verify

08-31-2021, 10:02 AM	#5
rmath Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 1,676	Very Nice Very good results Charlie under difficult conditions. Good luck with the final few days. Richatd

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08-31-2021, 09:42 AM	#3
Mitch44 Grade 1 Join Date: Nov 2014 Location: The Villages, Fl. Posts: 3,705	Excellent results Charlie. Is this your best year yet? A much more difficult task 2 days ahead that's for sure. Best of health to you and Missy. Mitch44

08-31-2021, 09:50 AM	#4
darmar Grade 1 Join Date: Mar 2013 Location: Maple Ridge, B.C. Canada Posts: 3,179	Smooth and steady wins the race. Congrats Charlie Darryl