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Synergism A Forum for Synergism Users to discuss, exchange tips, post race workups. |
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07-17-2012, 09:46 PM | #1 |
BetMix User
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 2,433
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WOX 07-18-12 Race 8 Using Synergism 2
WOX 07-18-12 Race 8 Using Synergism 2
Here's a very difficult race. The race favors a sustained horse. From what I can see the (1) should control the last 2 fractions. The morning line on this horse does not dictate a play for me. I would need 5-1 or better on this horse. As well, I would be doubtful that this horse can close enough to fill the gap. For me it's a pass race but I would be interested in some opinions here. The 2, 5, 9 are thinly separated. Which horse will it be? |
07-17-2012, 10:08 PM | #2 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 4,151
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Even though it is way behind on 1F I would say the 1 as it owns the last 2 fractions and as Doc said this is a dangerous horse.
7 could be dangerous as well big lead 2nd call Hope Pino chimes in, I still remember in one of our gatherings at Pimlico he had a 50-1 shot on top in the last at Delaware. |
07-18-2012, 06:57 AM | #3 | |
BetMix User
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 2,433
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Quote:
I decided to run this race with Synergism 3 and came up with the (9) 8-1 ML as a value play. Synergism 3 offers more extensive screens for me to get a better evaluation of a given race. My perception of this race favors a horse with sustained pace and the (9) seems to be within striking distance at the second call. Here are the screen shots. |
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07-18-2012, 09:55 AM | #4 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,654
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7/18/2012 WO 8th 6F CLM 10K Kitty Litter
#2 Erma Lee appears to be a vulnerable favorite with only a slight overall pace advantage and unimpressive trainer and jockey statistics. #7 Bling Bling Queen is the pacesetter with a significant early advantage. Unfortunately the trainer switch is nothing to write home about as the new trainer is 0 for 9 at this track, class and distance (t/c/d). The jockey is even worse with 0 for 28 at the t/c/d. On the other hand the horse has three wins at the t/c/d. At 10-1 that may be enough for a win bet. |
07-18-2012, 11:11 AM | #5 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Largo Fl.
Posts: 2,295
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To
Me, i would like syng 2 more becuse it has fewer screens to analyze the old saying less is more.
Bob |
07-18-2012, 11:29 AM | #6 | |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Dad Richie and I
Quote:
Dad Richie and I talked about that race Pino hit at Del. all the way home. I remember that very well Hope your feeling better Bill |
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07-18-2012, 11:39 AM | #7 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Pp
I figured I would enter the PP's so everybody can see what is going on
no matter what program they use or match up Horse 1 |
07-18-2012, 11:46 AM | #8 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Horses
2 3 4
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07-18-2012, 11:47 AM | #9 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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horse
5 6 7
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07-18-2012, 11:49 AM | #10 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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last two
Horse 8 and 9
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