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04-22-2022, 07:32 PM | #91 |
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rmath 4 method
Hello all i have a question i am trying to do Oaklawn races for tomarrow
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04-22-2022, 07:48 PM | #92 | |
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Quote:
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04-22-2022, 11:08 PM | #93 |
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ts ratings
i have had that on till now that explains the rebel stakes .
look out LAD i am coming for you in 2 weeks question: D. Wayne filly that ran in Arkansas derby Secret Oath would you go the oaks, or THE DERBY watch the race again she was pinched BAD at the start and closed Big??? me i don't know??!! wonder what the big boys say. Thanks Ted and all. may your winners be by daylight K.C. |
05-01-2022, 12:44 PM | #94 |
Happy Punting
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Toronto, Ontario
Posts: 485
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Rmath Question
In the attached race:
1. Can a horse with 3-factors rank ahead of a 4-factor horse? I have a rank of 2-3-1-6 Thoughts? Jon Happy Punting |
05-23-2022, 02:51 PM | #95 |
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Here is a follow up discussion on the '4 Factor Method', by Tim G (Lt1):
http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=14825 Ted
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05-23-2022, 03:00 PM | #96 | |
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I welcome any other 'Master/Jedi' interpretations Ted
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05-23-2022, 06:50 PM | #97 |
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First off lets not get confused between whether a horse with only 3 numbers can tier ahead of a horse with 4 numbers and whether or not it can beat a horse with 4 numbers. The generic answer is yes to both. Jon your own screen shot shows the 1 tiered ahead of 2 horses with 4 numbers. It can and does happen daily. Now the question becomes can it win the race. According to my latest survey[the link above] a horse with 3 numbers won 9 of 100[9%]. Richie had well over a 1000 races to base his decisions on. I would suggest that each of you do your own surveys to see what % of races are won by horses with all 4 #s based on your capping. Depending on the work of another can be useful[as a guideline] but you need to have your own records to depend on in order to wager with confidence. And don't forget other capping factors such as dist and surface,class etc must be also taken into consideration.
Tim
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Trust but verify Last edited by Lt1; 05-23-2022 at 06:54 PM. |
07-13-2022, 04:23 PM | #98 |
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For the record: followup discussion on this 4 Factor Method is here:
http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=14825 Ted
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05-25-2023, 09:37 PM | #99 |
Happy Punting
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Toronto, Ontario
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4 Factor Method - Woodbine Today
Folks,
A fabulous day at Woodbine today. The 4 Factor Method is a start; I then sprinkle my own handicapping skills, and BOOM, it worked today. Thank you to all. Happy Punting, and don't forget to CASH!! Jon |
05-25-2023, 09:43 PM | #100 |
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Congrats Jon.
Tim
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