|
Google Site Search | Get RDSS | Sartin Library | RDSS FAQs | Conduct | Register | Site FAQ | Members List | Today's Posts | Search |
Selections Post Your Picks - 1 race or a card |
|
Thread Tools | Display Modes |
12-12-2009, 12:27 PM | #1 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 1,678
|
Saturday, December 12
AQU
First race The 7 comes back after 6 months off and could be dangerous. Worth a shot at 5/1. EDITED TO ADD Went to the top LPR horse, might be worth noting. Last edited by clore1030; 12-12-2009 at 12:35 PM. |
12-12-2009, 12:51 PM | #2 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 1,678
|
Here I go again, also come up with a 7 horse for the second at AQU. Big BL advantage for me, nice price.
|
12-12-2009, 03:37 PM | #3 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 1,678
|
Finally
My top LPR and BL horse (said earlier that LPR might be worth watching today) and 21/1.
Made up for a weak IDT start. Looking to play the 1 horse in the eighth at AQU |
12-12-2009, 03:53 PM | #4 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
|
|
12-12-2009, 03:55 PM | #5 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 1,678
|
I think that last selection is still running, maybe he'll win the ninth race.
|
12-12-2009, 04:03 PM | #6 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 1,678
|
Thanks Rich, that means a lot coming from you.
I look at the last three races of a comparable distance. If the horse has a perceptor rating within that three that is ranked either 2nd or 3rd, I will use the top-ranked perceptor line. But only if the top-ranked perceptor line is within 4 speed rating points. This is something I determined through trial and error. My theory was that it gives me a horse that is fit enough to reach his peak, but it keeps me from falling for a speed rating that is way out of whack. The horse was close enough last time out in a race that came after a three month layoff. It struck me as fit and ready. |
12-12-2009, 05:40 PM | #7 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
|
[QUOTE=clore1030;62412]
I look at the last three races of a comparable distance. If the horse has a perceptor rating within that three that is ranked either 2nd or 3rd, I will use the top-ranked perceptor line. But only if the top-ranked perceptor line is within 4 speed rating points. This is something I determined through trial and error. My theory was that it gives me a horse that is fit enough to reach his peak, but it keeps me from falling for a speed rating that is way out of whack. The horse was close enough last time out in a race that came after a three month layoff. It struck me as fit and ready.[/QUOTE Charles when I read this I had to pop in as this is eerily close to my auto template and I do mean eerily!!! Keep rockin! |
12-12-2009, 06:03 PM | #8 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 798
|
Hol Late P4
Total: $72 Hollywood Park $1 Pick-4 1,3 / 1,4-5 / 2,6,9-10 / 1,4,7 |
12-12-2009, 06:42 PM | #9 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 1,678
|
Quote:
I'm still tinkering with it. For example, now that the grass season is over, there are many candidates that show a decent dirt race, but a better perceptor score might be found on a turf race. Again, if the perceptor rank first considered is a three, I'll take a second or first rank line if the SR is within four points. I've found two in the last week that would have yielded nice mutuel scores had I taken the grass line instead. It's something for me to monitor. Poly to dirt seems to be a better fit on the IDT which has a sandier composition. |
|
12-12-2009, 07:47 PM | #10 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
|
energy
|
|
|
Similar Threads | ||||
Thread | Thread Starter | Forum | Replies | Last Post |
Saturday Collective/ Positional on the lead projected pace races | RichieP | Matchup Discussion | 92 | 06-07-2009 04:39 PM |
Free BRIS Contest -- Saturday, Mar. 21, 2009 | alydar_ David | Previous 'Handicapping Discussion' Forum | 11 | 03-22-2009 01:21 PM |
Saturday -- February 7, 2009 | alydar_ David | Selections | 10 | 02-08-2009 11:34 AM |
Tuesday, December 30 | alydar_ David | Selections | 35 | 12-30-2008 04:14 PM |
Matchup Webinar - Saturday October 18th 2008 | RichieP | Matchup Discussion | 31 | 08-08-2008 07:56 AM |