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Pace Makes the Race / TPR Discussion, Examples, Lessons from Total Pace Ratings (TPR) aka 'Phase I' from the book 'Pace Makes the Race' |
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04-28-2016, 12:23 AM | #1 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Work up race Parx race 7 2/26
Here is race 7 from Parx
This race was requested for review Its a 16 claimer for non winners of a race in 6 months Step 1 is always run the last line for all the horses Looking just at the last line I can see some key facts 2 of the horses # 2 and 6 have very good figures. 182.5 is a very nice TPR These horses are coming from very good efforts There are 3 horses coming from sprints, I have a good balance of running styles Step 2 The fulcrum The 2 is our fulcrum horse with a 92 EPR 113.1 Step 3 Running styles overview 1 Early 2, EPs, 4 Pressers, and 1 Sustained Now I will pick lines. |
04-28-2016, 12:58 AM | #2 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Horses
My notes or in each horses lower right PP"s
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04-28-2016, 12:59 AM | #3 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Horse
5 6 8 #7 scr
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04-28-2016, 01:14 AM | #4 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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read outs
next step Early or OTE
rate the readout Earlys The 2 is solid. The 3 is early but the 2 will press it The 4 is weak here and out Pick # 2 The top 3 total energy horses are all Early OTE The 6 is solid but can it win two in a row ? The 5 has a good TPR but Its not top 3 EPR or LPR and It has a low VDC 5.3 Horse 1 is weak here -out Horse 8 is solid with the best LPR It also ran against the fastest POR EP and has a class advantage my bet here # 8 win bets 2 and 8 |
04-28-2016, 01:47 AM | #5 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jan 2013
Posts: 318
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Nice!!!
If they were all like this you could retire!!
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04-28-2016, 09:10 AM | #6 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2013
Posts: 389
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Thanks for the work up Bill.
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