Hollywood

[RichieP]

The 8th at Hollywood tomorrow.

3 "E" runners look to go strong from the get go including fighting. Because of the fighting tendencies of 2 of the earlies we need all 3 to run as the 3rd is a wild early.

Nice potential setup for O.T.E. to get the win.

Full field and we need to get our proj pace and see if there are any fast O.T.E. bucks against it.

[RichieP]

cont

[RichieP]

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[Tanico]

Well it looks the pace has to be 44 and change. I like the 6 the best and maybe the 10 to get a part. I am not very good with the matchup like you guys but I am trying to learn.

[Charlie D]

1c 21.8 -22.0 and lookng for a 4/5th position horse


Tanico, see Richie's post for getting started with The Match Up

http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=4474

[Charlie D]

Projected Pace and Contenders (If one of the E come out, another look may be needed. )

[Tanico]

Originally Posted by Charlie D

1c 21.8 -22.0 and lookng for a 4/5th position horse


Tanico, see Richie's post for getting started with The Match Up

http://paceandcap.com/forums/showthread.php?t=4474

Thanks Charlie, I will most surely take a look

[Bill Lyster]

The 1 and 7 fought the entire way and no one gave in - final time was 108.6 off a 22-44.3. The 4 has attended sucha lead but faded badly; the 9 has led in sub 22, but gave way thereafter - he might force the 1 and 7 because 1 never did well if first fraction was sub 22; 7 has some cred vs sub 22 in line 4 where he fought off 21.5-44.0. 9 cant go that fast so he fades too; 7 finished the 21.5-44 race in 109.7, but he might get a little relief if the 9 gives up quickly. I think the OTE contenders are 3 off line 4 4th-3rd at first two calls; the 5 off line 2, 5th - 6th. the 6 off line 4 5th and 5th and the 10 off lines 1 and 6, 3rd-2nd-2nd and 3rd-3rd-2nd; even line 4 is 4th-2nd-2nd. The two best power moves would be the 10 and 3 and so far I think the 10 being closer is better than the three. However, factoring in price considerations it looks to me that the 10 with morning line at 3:1 might go down since he's dropping from C20. All that work with a number of ? marks and no price - bummer.

[RichieP]

Lets set the proj pace from the #1 and #7 last line
22.0 - 44.3 (in tenths)

The #9 will run to any 1st fraction it seems to get the lead which is just what I believe we need here to screw up the 2 lead fighters. If the 9 scratches I have seen too many races where one of the fighters goes on to win to have much faith in an OTE finish.

Here are the pps "lit up" with all pacelines that fit the proj pace

I am deliberately not marking lines, running styles etc as each of us has a MInds Eye that is different.

So see what you see if you like.

Here are the full pps again marked with proj pace of 22.0 and 44.3

[RichieP]

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