Friday Night Race of Week - 06/16

[jms62]

This is a placeholder for this Fridays race...

[jms62]

Fridays race is a Starter Allowance second leg of the TVG 150 K guaranteed late pick 4.... Going forward I ask this question, is anyone strongly opposed to selection of a Madien race ?

Hollywood Park - June 16th, 2006 - Race 6
Estimated Local Post Time: 9:35 PM
Race Type: Starter Allowance
Breed: Thoroughbred
Age Restriction: Three Year Old and Upward
Purse: $25,000
Distance:Six Furlongs
Surface: Dirt

Post Horse Name Age Sex Weight Jockey Name
1 Sure Thing Eva (FL) 4 Gelding 122 Aaron T. Gryder
2 Vermeil (KY) 5 Horse 122 Jon Kenton Court
3 Swiss Arrow (CA) 3 Gelding 119 Victor Espinoza
4 Coyote Fast (KY) 5 Horse 119 Martin Garcia
5 Hot Off the Bench (CA) 3 Gelding 119 David Cohen
6 Under House Arrest (CA) 4 Colt 117 Juan Ochoa
7 Li Bien (AZ) 3 Gelding 119 Corey S. Nakatani

[RichieP]

Hollywood - Friday - 6/16 - Race 6

6f

Projected Pace:

1c - 21.4 - # 5 - line 1
2c - 44.4 - # 4 - line 1
ft - 109.2 - # 4- line 1

matching lines these are the only lines that are left. I had to go deep for lines on the 6 but that is totally ok.

I use 6.2 seconds to subtract and add for each 1/2 furlong fwiw.

The heavy fav # 4 is legit and tough. I think the 6 might take him. 2 has to come from way way back.

My Bets:

$ 8.00 win - # 6 = $ 8.00
$ 3.00 ex box - 6-4 and 6-2 = $ 12.00

Total bet = $ 20.00

screen shot of original lines

good luck everyone!

Rich
JMS - any race is fine by me. it's all good

[lschofiel]

I totallly agree with your analysis Rich. I think the #4 will be very tough in here and see this race as 4,6,2,7.

[alydar_ David]

#4 Coyote Fast goes wire-to-wire as an odds on favorite.

*yawn*

[cprescigno]

I did it the Hat way again.
I get the 6 beating the 4 if the first fraction goes 21.7 or 21.8. I think both the 6 and the 3 will push the first fraction to faster than the 4 has run before and won the race. His best frist fraction is 21.9 not counting the turf race. Doesn't mean he can't run to a 21.7 or even 21.5. He's consistent. So my safety bet goes a 6-4 Exacta Box.

Win 6 $15
Ex Box 6-4 $10
Tri 6-4-2, 4-6-2

Projected Pace
21.7 44.3 110.1
Lines
3 - 21.5 44.7 111.0
4 - 21.9 44.3 110.3
6 - 21.8 44.3 109.7

If you go back on the 6 to the SA race 142 days with those fractions he beats the 4 also at SA same distance 6.5F. It all depends on whether the 4 can handle a fraction faster than 21.9 and still win. In his PP's of whch there aren't many when he isn't on top first and second fraction he doesn't win the race. I say he can't but the horse may say different. We'll see.
Charlie

[kiltman]

I know the 4 is tough and will probably win but Im going to take a shot on beating him with 1 yea the one. 6 and 7 . Hate 6/5 morning line horses.

[admin]

I will have to pass this one
The 4 gets the readouts but its a LRH
My other contenders are the
2 4 5 and 7
just can't seem to binder method this one

[jms62]

Shooting against the obvious

#7-10 to WIn
#2-10 to Win

1.00 Tri Key 7-2 /7-2-4-6

[gl45]

Win 2-6
Ex 1-4/2-6
Pino