Contender Selection Situation (Apr 13, 2013 - OP Race 4) - Pace and Cap

Bill V. · 06-16-2013, 02:38 PM

Hi NFS

I my self would have lost this race no matter what line I used
Because I would not have a used a pace line for the winner

But in regards to the 9 and 10

The 9 is 30/1 on the ML there are 3 scratches in the race, but 20/1 ML horses hardly ever win so when I see 30- 1 just pass them by
Line 3 is a plus race but for this horse that 76 looks like a best case
A horse moving up after a loss is good for value but a bad bet statistically

The 10 has no route lines and its ability to run 6 furlongs is in doubt, let alone
2 turns against $40000 horses. No line

Bill

06-16-2013, 02:38 PM	#13
Bill V. The egg man Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Carlsbad, California Posts: 10,005	Both out Hi NFS I my self would have lost this race no matter what line I used Because I would not have a used a pace line for the winner But in regards to the 9 and 10 The 9 is 30/1 on the ML there are 3 scratches in the race, but 20/1 ML horses hardly ever win so when I see 30- 1 just pass them by Line 3 is a plus race but for this horse that 76 looks like a best case A horse moving up after a loss is good for value but a bad bet statistically The 10 has no route lines and its ability to run 6 furlongs is in doubt, let alone 2 turns against $40000 horses. No line Bill

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