Feedback Please / Aqueduct Wednesday / Race 4

[RichieP]

Thanx guys for the feedback

GOT IT

Richie

[kiltman]

Bottom Line Betting Line
PN Line used Line Score M/L
7 3 22.3 5/2
8 3 21.8 8/1
1 3 16.5 8/1
9 3 16.5 20/1
5 1 14.5 8

Just looking at this I would bet the 8 and 1 horse on the assumption that the 7 will be bet down below 3/2.

[RichieP]

Originally Posted by tompkins

A four year tracking of winning e/l's from sprints there usually have them around +8-10

my last 20 races at 6f - e/l graph is graphed

Everyone does select lines their own way so I do NOT doubt YOUR records.
These are mine. This is perfect example of why it is VITAL to keep records. Anyone TRULY wanting to win has to
keep em. Otherwise you are simply living some one else's reality and that never works.
Personalized records are a MUST.
ok

[RichieP]

what we have so far. heavy hitters to weigh in still

ok

  Aqueduct Race 4 Matrix

#7     #8     no qual  

1      1       1
1      1

[sdahl]

Hi Rich. After doing this race, the only one that meets your requirements is number 7.
Stan

[tompkins]

A second way an S/P Sprinter wins at Aqueduct (or anywhere for that matter) is when there is NO early pace pressure so one gets the "illusion" that they are S/P's when they default to that style as a result of simply NOT having to go faster earlier.

Also be very careful in JUST using the e/l paceline from which you chose the winner as what is TYPICAL for said horse. One of the real epiphanies (and why I use two lines all the time) was realizing that the line chosen might be the ONE LINE that give the winner, but is atypical for that performer overall therby giving your e/l survey some false readings.

If one goes back in the #7's history, near the bottom, no other animal (Lines 8 and A) contended with anything below 22.0 and survived. Mark Aim Fire did but that was way back.

Still, this one will probably be too chaulky to bet on anyway.

[RichieP]

Originally Posted by kiltman

Bottom Line Betting Line
PN Line used Line Score M/L
7 3 22.3 5/2
8 3 21.8 8/1
1 3 16.5 8/1
9 3 16.5 20/1
5 1 14.5 8

Just looking at this I would bet the 8 and 1 horse on the assumption that the 7 will be bet down below 3/2.

Hey Russ,
IF you can could u check your corrolary screen and see if 1 or more horses fits these criteria please:

top 2 - EPR
top 3 - HID
top 3 - ENT

asking cause i have an idea and wanna see if it pans out man ok? so far folks have been very cool in participating. If you can't NO biggie.

Congrats btw on your Santa Anita work Sunday. 2 different guys told me you had that WHOLE card NAILED dude! Wow!

go head Kilt. u are " En Fuego"!

Richie

[RichieP]

Originally Posted by sdahl

Hi Rich. After doing this race, the only one that meets your requirements is number 7.
Stan

Thanx Stan!

will add your feedback in to the matrix on the next update. Really appreciate the help.

Rich

[tompkins]

looking at all these, which look atypical? all of the lines from this #7

[RichieP]

Originally Posted by tompkins

looking at all these, which look atypical? all of the lines from this #7

all due respect - not here please - start another thread PLEASE

the WHOLE purpose of THIS thread is to allow folks to do things THEIR own PERSONAL way. That is ALL. This is a chance for EVERYONE to weigh in with NO paying attention to the INDIVIDUAL but rather the GROUP intelligence.

you have your method great.

do YOU have a horse who is :

top 2 - EPR
top 3 - HId
top 3 - ENT

??

thank you
Richie