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Matchup Discussion Matchup Discussion and Practice |
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05-28-2006, 10:02 AM | #11 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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finding contenders
ok so I start with the # 1 horse trying to find lines MATCHING the proj pace
1c - 48.8 2c - 114.8 ft - 141.1 here is the # 1 horse. looking down to line 5 he is an exact match to the proj pace and finished 2nd less than a lenght. he is in reasonable form looking at his last couple of lines so we add him as a contender |
05-28-2006, 10:10 AM | #12 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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ok here is horse # 2
this is the ONLY horse I made a call on and its because of that 8.3f line in the last race. I did NOT buy that line 1c - 47.5 2c - 113.6 BOTH the calls are MOREthan one full second faster than the proj pace. If you buy that line there is noone else in the race to consider. I didnt buy the line and here is WHY. lines 2 and 3 are both from TODAYS distance of 8f ok? look at 2 back please. Horse blows the field away and earns the SAME EXACT speed rating as the last race with that crazy high pace. Pace from the 2 back 8f blowout 1c - 49.5 2c - 115.4 much to SLOW against todays proj pace. anyway I tossed him as a contender based on that fact ok? he raced up close early on and totally COLLAPSED before they even got to the far turn. TOO SLOW |
05-28-2006, 10:12 AM | #13 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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ok the ONLY other contender who raced against the proj pace or quicker was the # 3 - Paris Pride
here is his last line contender |
05-28-2006, 10:22 AM | #14 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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final grouping
you can look at all the other horses. NOBODY other than the 6 -1 - 3 can match the proj pace set by the 5.
check it for yourself. ok so here is the screen shot of the ORIGINAL pacelines of the contenders including the proj pace seeter # 5. LOOKING at the lines the 5 figures to set the pace and collapse by the 2c. There is NO other early speed here so a closer should NOT win this race. GOODBYE # 3. Win should go to an early presser type who sits close to that 5 and takes over. that leaves the # 1 and # 6. We are supposed to begin matching the horses at the FIRST call. So in thi race if we are looking for early to win of the # 1 and # 6 who is best at 1c? the # 1. We can carry across this matching up of the 1 and 6 but first we should know that these races showing for the 1 and 6 are the SAME race btw. It's a tandem where the 6 beat the 1 at the finish by 1/2 a lenght. these are the only 2 horses in the race man. 1 and 6 - 1 and 6 odds at 2 mtp? 1 - 8/1 6 - 3/5 see how we did this? NEVER looked at readouts - just matched up the horses and determined how the race should go. screen shot of the contenders |
05-28-2006, 10:25 AM | #15 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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My Bets
I took a $ 4.00 win bet on the # 1 and then took a $ 4.00 Quinella 1-6
the 1 beats the 6 in the shadow of the wire paying $ 18.40 |
05-28-2006, 10:28 AM | #16 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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for not a lot of money the result was pretty good. I've been practicing using bets of $ 8.00- $ 10.00 a race. When I get better my bets using this method will increase.
I have to bet because otherwise it's not real to me. ok hope this made sense. I had an unreal day yesterday after my " tune up" Richie |
05-28-2006, 10:33 AM | #17 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 4,151
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Richie,Job well done lil bro,Happy Holiday to you and your family.Jeff
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05-28-2006, 10:58 AM | #18 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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Result chart
Here is the result chart of the race
notice we have the final time NAILED perfectly. 1c pace very close. 2c pace went in 114. set by who? yes the # 5 like we thought. and he died just like we thought. also that # 2 who had that crazy last race from 8.3f collapsed under the pace he faced tonight. Richie |
05-28-2006, 11:17 AM | #19 |
Grade 2
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 86
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Richie,
Great job. You make me proud. You matched the race following the Five Step Approach the way it has to be . Great call on the number two horse. Keep up the good work. Jim |
05-28-2006, 01:34 PM | #20 |
Grade 1
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 206
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Great Job Rich, I really like this post, time for me now to go to work on this!. Look forward to more examples for you also.
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