Winning Factors at Churchill? - Pace and Cap

whitejc1 · 05-16-2011, 11:17 AM

After a long hiatus from wagering on horses to deal with personal issues, I'm going to Louisville this week and watch some racing at Churchill. Does anyone have data on which factors seem to be more important for winners and place horses early in this years Churchill meet?

benzer · 05-18-2011, 07:13 PM

I keep records of winners based on distance and surface. CD likes to run a wide variety of races so my records are limited and based on a fast track from Derby day till now.

Dirt 8 furlongs: FX

Dirt 8.5 furlongs: TOT, LPR, HID, TPP and entropy

Dirt 7 furlongs: CPR and entropy

Turf 5 furlongs: EPR and TT

Turf 8 furlongs: EPR and TT

Turf 8.5 furlongs: CPR and FX

At least nine winners last raced over 45 days ago. All in races 7 furlongs or longer.

In only one race did I see the winner worse than 4th in VDC most top 3.
That is for all distances and surfaces even when the track went sloppy
and they took races off the turf.

Keep in mind my records are limited, but current, and are based on my pace line selections which never vary.

Hopefully this continues when CD gets running again.

whitejc1 · 05-18-2011, 09:48 PM

Thanks, Benzer. I'll keep in mind that the meet is young and I appreciate your response to my post.

05-16-2011, 11:17 AM	#1
whitejc1 AlwNW3X Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 34	Winning Factors at Churchill? After a long hiatus from wagering on horses to deal with personal issues, I'm going to Louisville this week and watch some racing at Churchill. Does anyone have data on which factors seem to be more important for winners and place horses early in this years Churchill meet?

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05-18-2011, 07:13 PM	#2
benzer AlwNW3X Join Date: Jan 2011 Posts: 49	I keep records of winners based on distance and surface. CD likes to run a wide variety of races so my records are limited and based on a fast track from Derby day till now. Dirt 8 furlongs: FX Dirt 8.5 furlongs: TOT, LPR, HID, TPP and entropy Dirt 7 furlongs: CPR and entropy Turf 5 furlongs: EPR and TT Turf 8 furlongs: EPR and TT Turf 8.5 furlongs: CPR and FX At least nine winners last raced over 45 days ago. All in races 7 furlongs or longer. In only one race did I see the winner worse than 4th in VDC most top 3. That is for all distances and surfaces even when the track went sloppy and they took races off the turf. Keep in mind my records are limited, but current, and are based on my pace line selections which never vary. Hopefully this continues when CD gets running again.

05-18-2011, 09:48 PM	#3
whitejc1 AlwNW3X Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 34	Thanks, Benzer. I'll keep in mind that the meet is young and I appreciate your response to my post.