Sunday, January 18, 2009 - Pace and Cap

clore1030 · 01-18-2009, 12:15 PM

AQU
First race

Not crazy about this field at all.
The entry looks as if they'll knock each other off based on EP scores.

The 4 has some decent races but can it sprint?

The 5 was MIA from September to January, dropped from 35K to 10K and off a decent second-place finish, is back up a couple levels to a 20K tag today. That last race is hard to gauge with its incredibly high variant.

Conclusion - a likely pass, but may go for the 5 if anything.

alydar_ David · 01-18-2009, 12:28 PM

I pretty much agree with you on all accounts. It should be #1 or #4.

alydar_ David · 01-18-2009, 12:31 PM

However, I don't think the entry will knock each other out. They're both early pressers and #1 is the only horse with 7 Quirin speed points.

alydar_ David · 01-18-2009, 12:38 PM

Results at Aqueduct
Sunday January 18, 2009

Race: 1 Win Place Show
1st 2 Isn't That Special 7.20 2.90 2.50
2nd 1 Sweet Bama Breeze 2.30 2.10
3rd 3 Afleet Aya 8.20

Best Sustained Pace wins. That was good yesterday too.

clore1030 · 01-18-2009, 12:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by alydar_David

However, I don't think the entry will knock each other out. They're both early pressers and #1 is the only horse with 7 Quirin speed points.

Well, they both tanked anyway. The 5 started backing up as soon as half the race was over.

Well, let's try again.

The second race is for bottom feeders - not my strong suit. I'll try the 6 horse, perhaps tossing in the 3 also. Just action bets though.

alydar_ David · 01-18-2009, 12:52 PM

Tampa Bay Downs Changes
Sunday January 18, 2009

The Main Track condition is now: Fast

The Turf Track condition is now: Firm

The weather at the Track is now: Sunny, 60

2nd: 7-6

#6 is 30-1. Guess who I'm rooting for? ;>)

tfm · 01-18-2009, 12:52 PM

TAM R2

try a 6-7-8 box

alydar_ David · 01-18-2009, 12:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by clore1030

Well, they both tanked anyway. The 5 started backing up as soon as half the race was over.

Well, let's try again.

The second race is for bottom feeders - not my strong suit. I'll try the 6 horse, perhaps tossing in the 3 also. Just action bets though.

I'm with you on the 6 and 3. #2 is an underlay at 8/5 IMO.

alydar_ David · 01-18-2009, 12:55 PM

Turfway Changes
Sunday January 18, 2009

The Main Track condition is now: Fast

The weather at the Track is now: Pt Cloudy, 28

clore1030 · 01-18-2009, 12:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by alydar_David

I'm with you on the 6 and 3. #2 is an underlay at 8/5 IMO.

I'll probably regret it, but I just stayed with the 6.

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01-18-2009, 12:15 PM	#1
clore1030 Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2007 Posts: 1,678	Sunday, January 18, 2009 AQU First race Not crazy about this field at all. The entry looks as if they'll knock each other off based on EP scores. The 4 has some decent races but can it sprint? The 5 was MIA from September to January, dropped from 35K to 10K and off a decent second-place finish, is back up a couple levels to a 20K tag today. That last race is hard to gauge with its incredibly high variant. Conclusion - a likely pass, but may go for the 5 if anything.

01-18-2009, 12:28 PM	#2
alydar_ David Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,654	I pretty much agree with you on all accounts. It should be #1 or #4.

01-18-2009, 12:31 PM	#3
alydar_ David Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,654	However, I don't think the entry will knock each other out. They're both early pressers and #1 is the only horse with 7 Quirin speed points.

01-18-2009, 12:38 PM	#4
alydar_ David Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,654	Results at Aqueduct Sunday January 18, 2009 Race: 1 Win Place Show 1st 2 Isn't That Special 7.20 2.90 2.50 2nd 1 Sweet Bama Breeze 2.30 2.10 3rd 3 Afleet Aya 8.20 Best Sustained Pace wins. That was good yesterday too.

01-18-2009, 12:52 PM	#6
alydar_ David Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,654	Tampa Bay Downs Changes Sunday January 18, 2009 The Main Track condition is now: Fast The Turf Track condition is now: Firm The weather at the Track is now: Sunny, 60 2nd: 7-6 #6 is 30-1. Guess who I'm rooting for? ;>)

01-18-2009, 12:52 PM	#7
tfm Former member Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 1,136	TAM R2 try a 6-7-8 box

01-18-2009, 12:55 PM	#9
alydar_ David Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,654	Turfway Changes Sunday January 18, 2009 The Main Track condition is now: Fast The weather at the Track is now: Pt Cloudy, 28