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Old 05-04-2024, 03:00 PM   #1
Ted Craven
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Kentucky Derby 2024

Here is my take on this year's Derby race (yes, I have the TwinSpires ratings working again - more on this next week)

2 17 and 4 are contenders to Win or ITM, while the Japanese horse #11 has 2 TrackMaster/Equibase Speed Ratings (109 & 104) which put it in the Top 4 of all other horses same SRs. So it is an upset possibility and will be if a longish price, otherwise def in exotics.

The 2 'Just' horses (6 & 8) could also round out exotics.

Good luck everyone!

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Old 05-04-2024, 06:30 PM   #2
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Just Steel
wps
odds dictated the bet
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Old 05-04-2024, 06:39 PM   #3
Ted Craven
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mrnickel View Post
Just Steel
wps
odds dictated the bet

Indeed - good odds on the #6. Good luck!
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Old 05-04-2024, 06:42 PM   #4
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I structured some key bets around the 2 and the 17

17 key with 2-4-6-8-11

2 key with 2-6-8-11

a few other bets covering some of these horses in smaller exacta combos

WPS #11
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Old 05-05-2024, 12:41 PM   #5
cratman
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Thanks

Quote:
Originally Posted by Ted Craven View Post
Here is my take on this year's Derby race (yes, I have the TwinSpires ratings working again - more on this next week)

2 17 and 4 are contenders to Win or ITM, while the Japanese horse #11 has 2 TrackMaster/Equibase Speed Ratings (109 & 104) which put it in the Top 4 of all other horses same SRs. So it is an upset possibility and will be if a longish price, otherwise def in exotics.

The 2 'Just' horses (6 & 8) could also round out exotics.

Good luck everyone!

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Thanks for pointing out the information on the 11.
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