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Old 08-20-2007, 11:54 AM   #11
lsosa54
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Very helpful, Bill. Even if they don't win in the race they got the easy lead, it tells you something. Here's one from yesterday at DMR - easy lead all the way through in his last with his highest lifetime speed figure.

There were a couple of mainstream reasons why this horse's chances were not good and he was not bet - actually went off at 17.5 to 1. Never, ever got close to the lead and ran 8th basically the whole way.

Last edited by lsosa54; 08-25-2008 at 09:23 PM.
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Old 08-20-2007, 03:45 PM   #12
RichieP
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Originally Posted by RichieP View Post
Hat took 2 MONTHS to get across my thick skull the importance of paying attention to the leads the earlies had at the first call Bill.

He KNOWS that big early EASY leads are NOT the kinds of lines you want to use to evaluate a horse. YOUR work here confirms this!
Richie
Just to clarify:
Jim says we HAVE to evaluate the horse to see if it can get that type of easy lead in TODAY'S race.

Also does he NEED this easy lead in order to win or can he FIGHT other horses for the lead and still win.

Richie
PS - watch for Jim's analysis of the 6th race at Saratoga in the "Power Line" thread later today.
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