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Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) Interactive Teaching & Learning - Race Conditions, Contenders, Pacelines, Advanced Concepts, Betting ... |
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01-07-2017, 11:43 AM | #1 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 4,151
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X and O
Bill,
Can you do a refresher on this? Jeff |
01-07-2017, 12:53 PM | #2 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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Form Cycle + 0 (+)
Sure thing Jeff
Here you go First off the drill is to mark the good races with a + The bad races with a 0 and races were the hore was involved competitively against the POR but finished poorly , these guys get a (+) or Plus within an O Here is an example from today's AQU card ( which has been canceled ) I have marked the lines, my markings are just to the right of the finish positions . RDSS does a nice job for us by marking the Plus races with colors and bold face , but its always a exercise to do on your own, I also use the phase 1 readouts when looking at + 0 and (+) |
01-07-2017, 06:09 PM | #3 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 4,151
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Bill
Well you taught me something never realized that those colors represented the + races in RDSS I was listening to the pace line tapes and Purdy was talking about using them, he also mentioned how he looked at the horses PP'S from the bottom up. Another handicapper who does it for a living told me he does it as well You said you use the phase 1 readouts with them can you explain in more detail Jeff Hope for the best for you, Dad and the rest of the family Last edited by shoeless; 01-07-2017 at 06:12 PM. |
02-17-2017, 03:50 PM | #4 |
Abiding Student
Join Date: May 2016
Posts: 711
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Bill V., thank you for another helpful post. And thank you, Jeff, for the request.
mick |
02-18-2017, 02:36 PM | #5 |
turf historian
Join Date: Feb 2008
Posts: 6,455
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JUST recognizing horses FINAL POSITION misses COMPLETELY, all those attempts at early pace improvement, the CLASSIC indicator or improving form (Often run against much faster paces of race and POSTIONALLY are hidden to casual analysis).
Horses IMPROVE intermittently NOT over a single race. If you miss out on improving contention on faster paces of race, you will lose out on MANY longer prices that the "head in the sands" PUBLIC loses ONLY looking at the END of a contest when it is IMPROVING EARLY SPEED is the hallmark of improving form. FIND them BEFORE the crowd does FORGET position and look at HOW the horse contended with the fractions.
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Albert Einstein:"The monotony and solitude of a quiet life stimulates the creative mind." Last edited by Tim Y; 02-18-2017 at 02:43 PM. |
02-18-2017, 03:59 PM | #6 |
The egg man
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Carlsbad, California
Posts: 10,005
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once again
Once again you bring nothing to the table, You just pop in to any thread and keep repeating very superficially about early pace.
if you really had a legitimate view of the power of the value of doing your notations, and had read what is written in the follow up, you would know that position and pace of race are both used to determine if pace lines are plus plus within a zero or zero, Please If you have opinions on things Try to either start your own thread put please don't just highjack every thread with this same talk over and over about early POR Show us something Bill |
02-19-2017, 08:13 AM | #7 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,705
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Anyone can see who is fastest at the 1st or 2nd call, the question remains can it hold up at the finish. If what you say is true than EP,SP & S types would never get up and they do consistently day in and day out and at better prices. Pace handicapping considers the effect of the early pace regardless of who has the lead. Every race and every day there are many horses that have the lead that never finish let alone win. If that's all there was to horse racing than winners wouldn't even pay $2.10 and the game would cease.
Yes "Great spirts" like Sartin, Bradshaw , Brohamer etc. get it and the "mediocre minds" who think early speed is the end all never do. Pace handicappers do like taking their money through and their only contribution to the game is their money donated daily. Hell they can't even deduct the loses on taxes without being a winner. Bill V. brought up an excellent point in that one should start their own thread rather than disrupt a good thread by going off topic. If one can't contribute to the topic at hand they should remain out. I have never seen anyone destroy more good topics with early speed or how class is unimportant etc. when the subject is about totally different subjects. TOPIC BLOCKERS due a real disservice to those trying to learn and ruin many before they get their feet wet. As a youngster I had a teacher who said "There is something wrong with someone that changes the subject." For newbies here and old heads choose wisely or be brain washed into false premises by losers looking for company and sympathy. Mitch44 Last edited by Mitch44; 02-19-2017 at 08:19 AM. |
02-19-2017, 09:24 AM | #8 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 9,163
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Well said Bill and Mitch. I think some folks think when off the pace horses are talked about winning at a particular track that we are talking about Silky Sullivan types coming from 15 behind when in fact we are not. Check the result charts for the tracks you play. Know where horses can be at the 2nd call and still win. Please remember the race doesn't end at the 2nd call. It is generally true that tactical runners do have an advantage but I think folks tend to think that means on the lead or very close to it when in fact many horse can and do win from 5 or 6 behind at the 2nd call. Bottom line know your track.
Tim G
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Trust but verify |
02-19-2017, 10:19 AM | #9 |
turf historian
Join Date: Feb 2008
Posts: 6,455
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Cogent understanding of ANY TOPIC (at least for the rational student) encompasses all logical points of observed experience.
NO subject from the content of Cocoa Puffs, to the internal tax codes of Spain are anything BUT multi-factorial. Parimutuel wagering is a COMPETITIVE game, and one has to look with a different eye to be successful LONG TERM. Variations on the same subject hardly stand the test of changing the subject.
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Albert Einstein:"The monotony and solitude of a quiet life stimulates the creative mind." |
02-19-2017, 11:07 AM | #10 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 4,151
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Bill
Getting back to the original topic really good article that you pointed out in Follow Up 56 on using X's and O's Thanks |
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