SAR for Wed 8/15/18

[rdiam]

ace 4 5 1/2F Turf
Purse: $47000.00
# Name Jockey/Driver Win Place Show
7 Avery Maeve Manuel Franco 4.10 2.60 2.10
2 Banty's Girl Joe Bravo 3.50 2.30
6 Bowl of Kisses Irad Ortiz, Jr. 2.20
Bet Type Runners Pay Out
$1 Exacta 7/2 4.80
$1 Quinella 2,7 3.30
$1 Trifecta 7/2/6 10.20
$1 Superfecta 7/2/6/8 40.00
$1 Double 2/7 13.60
$1 Pick 3 6/2/7 19.50
Scratched: 3 Hexameter, 4 Royalaspen, 5 Mahabodhi Tree

[rdiam]

SAR r5: (3:14): baby race, 7 of 9 are FTS

3 -- no lasix this race, stretches out 0.5f, 2nd race lifetime, but showed nothing first time out

2 -- turf to dirt, 2nd time lasix, first time dirt, stretches out 0.5f, second race lifetime, showed nothing in first start

1 -- quality jockey/trainer combo

5 -- quality jockey

7 -- quality jockey

4 -- average jockey/trainer

6 -- quality jockey

9 -- quality jockey

8 -- weak jockey/trainer combo

Strategy: eat a hot dog

[rdiam]

Race 5 6F Dirt
Purse: $75000.00
# Name Jockey/Driver Win Place Show
8 ShesasuperfreakEric Cancel 27.20 11.60 7.70
5 Heartbustingirl Ricardo Santana, Jr. 13.20 8.50
7 Don't Tell Addie Florent Geroux 4.90
Bet Type Runners Pay Out
$1 Exacta 8/5 152.50
$1 Trifecta 8/5/7 1139.00
$1 Superfecta 8/5/7/6 9029.00
$1 Double 7/8 43.25
$1 Pick 3 2/7/8 214.50
$1 Pick 4 6,7/2/3,4,5,7/8 396.00
$1 Pick 5 3,4,5/6,7/2/3,4,5,7/8 1134.50
Scratched: None

[rdiam]

SAR r6 (3:48): scratch 7, six runners

5 -- sprint to route, highest avg earnings, but too slow for this group => TOSS for win

4 -- rise in claim price, but a previous winning level, 3rd after layoff, first after claim, jockey switch to Rosario, LONE EARLY so if can get lead could wire => win contender

2 -- stretches out by 0.5f, big jump in claim price, but in at previous winning level, very positive jockey switch to Santana => win contender

6 -- 2nd after claim, jockey switch to Castellano, best closing kick, projects as winner off July 20 race

1 -- stretches out by 1f, rise in claim price, first after 50 day layoff, first after claim, positive jockey switch to Franco => win contender

3 -- stretches out by 0.5f, dropping from nongraded stakes to previous winning level, first after 704 day layoff, very positive jockey switch to Saez, gelded April 19 => win contender if in any kind of form

Strategy: 3 is an unknown quantity, will bet against, 5 is also a toss, so will bet any from 4,6,1,2 going off 4-1 or higher (1,2), will hedge with exacta 4,6/4,6,1,2

[rdiam]

Race 6 1 1/8M Dirt
Purse: $40000.00
# Name Jockey/Driver Win Place Show
6 Turco Bravo (CHI) Javier Castellano 7.10 2.80 2.20
4 Imperatore Joel Rosario 2.40 2.10
1 My Cousin Lou Manuel Franco 2.40
Bet Type Runners Pay Out
$1 Exacta 6/4 6.10
$1 Trifecta 6/4/1 12.60
$1 Superfecta 6/4/1/2 24.20
$1 Double 8/6 57.25
$1 Pick 3 7/8/6 123.25
Scratched: 7 Becker's Galaxy

[rdiam]

SAR r7 (4:24): scratch 1A, 11, 12, MSW with 10 runners

4 -- first route, 2nd lasix, sprint to route, 2nd race lifetime, showed nothing last race

8 -- dirt to turf, first time turf, 3rd race lifetime, first race after 59 day layoff, jockey switch to Leparoux, win contender if runs back to Jun 17 race

9-- dirt to turf, 2nd lasix, first turf, sprint to route, first after 123 day layoff, jockey switch to Velazquez, win contender if runs back to Oct 2017 race

6 -- much shorter route, first after 55 day layoff, win contender if runs back to May 11 race

5 -- much shorter route, lightly raced and improving, 2nd after layoff, jockey switch to Alvarado, win contender if can run back to May 22 race

10 -- 2nd lasix, shorter route, second race lifetime, first race after 53 day layoff, jockey switch to Rosario, projects as winner based on June 23 race

2 -- dirt to turf, first time route, 2nd time Lasix, first time turf, sprint to route, second race lifetime, first after 69 day layoff, showed nothing in only race

1 -- FTS, top jockey, average trainer

7 -- FTS, top jockey and trainer combo

3 -- FTS, average jockey and trainer combo

Strategy: lots of unknowns and horses trying things for first time, win contenders are 10, 8, 5, bet any of these to win if 5-1 or better(5), hedge in exacta with others (10,8) and the 7 (FTS Chad Brown/Jose Ortiz combo): 10,8,7/10,8,5,6

[rdiam]

Race 7 1 1/16M Turf
Purse: $85000.00
# Name Jockey/Driver Win Place Show
7 Civil Union Jose L. Ortiz 10.60 5.60 3.90
10 Peter's Kitten Joel Rosario 5.40 3.70
6 Soar From Shadows Irad Ortiz, Jr. 4.20
Bet Type Runners Pay Out
$1 Exacta 7/10 32.50
$1 Trifecta 7/10/6 139.75
$1 Superfecta 7/10/6/8 520.00
$1 Double 6/7 16.90
$1 Pick 3 8/6/7 283.50
Scratched: 1A French Empire, 11 Sweet Offer, 12 Mrs Vargas

[rdiam]

SAR r8 (5:02), 9 runners. scratch #6

2 -- drop in claim price to previous winning level, first after 59 day layoff, LONE EARLY, projects as winner if can hold on in stretch

3 -- coming from allw back to previous winning level, first after 88 day layoff, positive jockey switch to Jose Ortiz, highest average earnings => use underneath in exotics

7 -- 2nd after claim, jockey switch to Rosario => win contender

5 -- shortens up by 1f, coming from allowance race, first time in claimer, first after 137 day layoff, jockey switch to Castellano, unknown quantity

1 -- coming from alw, first time claimer, first after 326 day layoff, jockey switch to Saez, win contender

4 -- drop in claim price to previous winning level, first after 59 day layoff, first after claim, positive jockey switch to Santana, win contender

10 -- coming from alw, first time claimer, first after 102 day layoff, positive jockey switch to Alvarado, has best closing kick

8 -- shortens up by 0.5f, 2nd after claim

9 -- longer sprint vy 0.5f, jockey switch to Carmouche

Strategy: bet ex 2/7,1,4 box

[rdiam]

Race 8 6F Dirt
Purse: $58000.00
# Name Jockey/Driver Win Place Show
2 Still Krz Irad Ortiz, Jr. 5.10 3.60 2.60
8 Bolita Boyz David Cohen 13.20 8.30
10 Spartiatis Junior Alvarado 5.00
Bet Type Runners Pay Out
$1 Exacta 2/8 36.75
$1 Trifecta 2/8/10 224.00
$1 Superfecta 2/8/10/5 993.50
$1 Double 7/2 16.10
$1 Pick 3 6/7/2 56.75
Scratched: 6 Fundy's Tide

[rdiam]

SAR r9

win contenders 4,2,6, bet any at 3-1 or better, box remainders in exacta