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03-03-2022, 12:55 AM | #11 | |
turf historian
Join Date: Feb 2008
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Quote:
Horse racing, for example, as Dr. Sartin (an Huey Mahl)pointed out so often in their writing: Class is Pace, Pace is Class....THA IS IT! What horses, in FORM, are capable of doing when mixed competitiors are brought into compeition with one another. How do their inherent pace abilities govern the outcome of this race? That is IT, the rest (man made class shifts, the HUMAN connections, the farrier etc) is simply NOISE in the machine and moves away form that ESSENCE: the abilitiess of the horses..Weather is another true factor to consider as it directly affects some horses abilities.
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03-03-2022, 01:01 AM | #12 | |
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Quote:
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03-03-2022, 10:49 AM | #13 |
turf historian
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At a simulcast or on line wagering site, THAT would be impossible to do
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Albert Einstein:"The monotony and solitude of a quiet life stimulates the creative mind." |
03-03-2022, 12:34 PM | #14 |
cratman
Join Date: May 2006
Location: DC area
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Impossible
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03-03-2022, 01:24 PM | #15 |
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03-07-2022, 06:28 AM | #16 |
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Join Date: Oct 2012
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Like Lt1 said horses that look washed out in the paddock may be good bets. Seattle Slew comes to mind. This horse was always dripping wet AND HE WON THE TRIPLE CROWN THAT WAY!
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03-08-2022, 08:15 PM | #17 |
turf historian
Join Date: Feb 2008
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First time I went to a simulcast venue (when I was suffering under the delusion that MY evaluation of horseflesh overwhelmed OBJECTIVE pace ratings and their interactions) I complained that any view of any particular horse was so short and at such a distance, any objective observation was, for all intents and purposes USELESS. Today the time televised to make these observations has even lessened.
When I became part of the camera crew, I realized it is even more difficult to get objective evidence as the ONLY real view that was any good was via the paddock camera. Since the PADDOCK view had potential, and that was my assignment for several years at Hastings, I realized yet again, it was both TOO SHORT a time and often we just showed the animals from their torso up. BUT far and away the GREATEST negation of physicality as it related to pefomance were my own records. Hardly a correlation of 25% between look and performance. Even the two trainers I asked to do thier own evaluations, were hardly much better. One old gelding Ionian Sea ran at Hastings, and he had a knee almot 50% bigger than the other. I talked to the vet at the gate, and he knew of this animal. "It is"burnt out" arthritis " he told me (joint adpatation to wear and tear but no long physiologically active). "Since he has won on that very knee with no problems, unless he injures it again, I wouldn't pay it much mind." The best decisions as regards wagering on horses racing involes FEWER, not more diffusion by putting too much weight on factors that are very monor.
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