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RDSS Racing Decision Support System – The Modern Sartin Methodology |
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#1 |
Match Up Apprentice
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 2,105
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The Modern Sartin Methodology...
has Divine Park on Top
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"To me, The Match Up supercedes everything" |
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#2 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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Morning Charlie.
My look with Bl/Bl,Tpr and Segments screens. Best of luck/skill!
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"Grampy I'm talking to you!" |
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#3 |
Grade 1
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Staten Island, NY
Posts: 3,952
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Great post Guys...this is exactly my delimia presented here..
Pace lines!! As u can see Charlie used , probably, the horses best lines while Richie used the most recent..My question to Richie is why havent u gone to better lines since these are the top horses on the grounds and should/can produce their top numbers ?? thxs Mike
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Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack |
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#4 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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Quote:
When I saw Charlie's cool name for the thread it brought me back to the followups and everything. So I figured to fire up the race and work it how I used to. So there is no raw matching going on. Pretty much best of last 3. Fwiw what I did do was change the settings to use 100% of the variant instead of the stock 50%. Why? I noticed right away that the 2 ml favs BOTH have lines with VERY high variants (+/- 20 or more). Knowing I'm using adjusted I want to bring those lines closer together with the 100% than what shows with the 50%. Hey have a great day Mike!
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"Grampy I'm talking to you!" |
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#5 |
Grade 1
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Staten Island, NY
Posts: 3,952
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good morn to you too...early bird like me...lol
So u use this same config on all your races? Is it doing well for you? thxs mike
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Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack |
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#6 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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Quote:
For me once variants either + or - 20 or higher show up on key pace lines with horses I make as contenders the flags go up big time. Then it is a matter of looking around at the tools available to possibly help me. The "no variant" and "100% variant" are 2 such tools for example.Passing the race is the other option ![]()
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"Grampy I'm talking to you!" |
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#7 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 7,014
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Mike here is EXACTLY what I did right or wrong. Then let me bow out cause Kianti is breaking my stones here man!
![]() The first screen shot shows Divine Park in Spec mode with the recommended (rightly so imo) 50% variant. The difference between the top 2 races shows as 13 lengths on TPR (Cpr middle tab). The 2nd screen shot shows Divine Park in same Spec mode but switching to 100% variant. Now the difference shows as 3 lengths. Imho there is NO possible way an in form horse runs 2 sharp races within 30 days and one is almost 15 lengths faster than the other. That is what the 50% is showing. 2nd confirming factor is checking the Equibase Speed ratings on top right. They show 116 and 110 for the 2 races. Give or take that's about 2-3 lengths. It took less than a second once I saw this to trust scenario 2 and go with the 100 here win lose or draw. ![]() I've learned to use the program as a tool to help me and not have it use me as a slave to it.
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"Grampy I'm talking to you!" Last edited by RichieP; 08-30-2008 at 08:27 AM. |
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#8 |
Grade 1
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Staten Island, NY
Posts: 3,952
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thxs Richie...I'll keep this in mind...
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Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack |
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#9 |
Match Up Apprentice
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 2,105
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Ooops, should have stated ~ Adjustments are turned off
The line(s) are selected via the projected pace and preference is towards those closest to the distance being run Hope this helps
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"To me, The Match Up supercedes everything" Last edited by Charlie D; 08-30-2008 at 09:08 AM. |
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#10 |
Match Up Apprentice
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 2,105
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I should also state i am little worried about Divine Park's #2 line, overall time seems very quick to me
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