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Pace Makes the Race / TPR Discussion, Examples, Lessons from Total Pace Ratings (TPR) aka 'Phase I' from the book 'Pace Makes the Race'

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Old 07-13-2017, 10:33 PM   #41
Bill V.
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Pino
I don't have access to my Parx or Del Mar/SantaAinta records. They are on a laptop I no longer use, Someday I will rescue the data.

From memory and just from years of watching races, I would guess the winner to be amongst the top 4 position horses at the second call

Anytime I modeled position at the second call, It was very rare to have anything over 5th. It did happen but not very often.

Bill
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Old 07-14-2017, 07:42 AM   #42
gl45
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BINGO!!!!

top 3 is much better, save money.
That is why you are winning.

I wonder how many people keep a track profile. Parx for me is a gold mine. Jeff made a believer out of me.
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Old 07-16-2017, 08:07 AM   #43
gl45
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Some people don't believe in the POWER MOVE I do.
Race #11 at GP yesterday, horse #1 Minute Madness won at 6 furlong with a power move that make you speechless 8-5-3-1 watch the video and take notes. Paid $46.80.
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Old 07-16-2017, 11:20 AM   #44
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GL45

What is power move?

Good job at Parx
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Old 07-16-2017, 12:11 PM   #45
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Parx is a very consistent track to play. I have stated that races at 8.3 tend to have the most shifts in running styles. I noted in another post where horses were winning from further back at that time then at other distances. Shortly after that it changed back to favoring ep horses. As GL pointed having a working model and profile alerted me to these changes and led to some juicy payoffs.
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Old 07-16-2017, 12:22 PM   #46
gl45
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Jeff, try to search Richie's post on the MU thread about the Power Move, maybe Lt1 can explain to you better than I do.
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Old 07-16-2017, 01:19 PM   #47
Mitch44
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Here you go Jeff:

"07-16-2007, 11:09 AM
Jim Bradshaw’s “Power Line” - What is it?
A “Power Line” is the fastest pace of race showing where the horse finished
competitively. Regardless of track or where it is in the past performances."

Mitch44
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Old 07-16-2017, 01:35 PM   #48
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Mitch Thanks
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Old 07-16-2017, 01:54 PM   #49
Mitch44
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Here you go Jeff: The power move:


“Power Moves” are moves that horses make during the race that show they can overtake
other horse. Many horses show more than one “power move” during a race. (Example 9-
4-1-1.) The Four horse moves from fourth to second position and gains lengths.
Although, I like better “Power Moves” the race is longer today and the Four horse should
win the race and reverse the Tandem.
The Hat"

NOTE: Power moves are indicated for the horses on the original screen and are underlined plus color coded for easier identification.
Mitch 44

Last edited by Mitch44; 07-16-2017 at 02:00 PM.
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Old 07-16-2017, 07:04 PM   #50
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Thanks again
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