Matching up correctly - Page 2 - Pace and Cap

RichieP · 05-28-2006, 10:02 AM

ok so I start with the # 1 horse trying to find lines MATCHING the proj pace
1c - 48.8
2c - 114.8
ft - 141.1

here is the # 1 horse.

looking down to line 5 he is an exact match to the proj pace and finished 2nd less than a lenght. he is in reasonable form looking at his last couple of lines so we add him as a contender

RichieP · 05-28-2006, 10:10 AM

ok here is horse # 2

this is the ONLY horse I made a call on and its because of that 8.3f line in the last race. I did NOT buy that line
1c - 47.5
2c - 113.6

BOTH the calls are MOREthan one full second faster than the proj pace. If you buy that line there is noone else in the race to consider.

I didnt buy the line and here is WHY. lines 2 and 3 are both from TODAYS distance of 8f ok? look at 2 back please. Horse blows the field away and earns the SAME EXACT speed rating as the last race with that crazy high pace.

Pace from the 2 back 8f blowout
1c - 49.5
2c - 115.4

much to SLOW against todays proj pace.

anyway I tossed him as a contender based on that fact ok?

he raced up close early on and totally COLLAPSED before they even got to the far turn. TOO SLOW

RichieP · 05-28-2006, 10:12 AM

ok the ONLY other contender who raced against the proj pace or quicker was the # 3 - Paris Pride

here is his last line

contender

RichieP · 05-28-2006, 10:22 AM

you can look at all the other horses. NOBODY other than the 6 -1 - 3 can match the proj pace set by the 5.

check it for yourself.

ok so here is the screen shot of the ORIGINAL pacelines of the contenders including the proj pace seeter # 5.

LOOKING at the lines the 5 figures to set the pace and collapse by the 2c.

There is NO other early speed here so a closer should NOT win this race. GOODBYE # 3.

Win should go to an early presser type who sits close to that 5 and takes over. that leaves the # 1 and # 6.

We are supposed to begin matching the horses at the FIRST call. So in thi race if we are looking for early to win of the # 1 and # 6 who is best at 1c?

the # 1. We can carry across this matching up of the 1 and 6 but first we should know that these races showing for the 1 and 6 are the SAME race btw. It's a tandem where the 6 beat the 1 at the finish by 1/2 a lenght.

these are the only 2 horses in the race man. 1 and 6 - 1 and 6

odds at 2 mtp?

1 - 8/1
6 - 3/5

see how we did this? NEVER looked at readouts - just matched up the horses and determined how the race should go.

screen shot of the contenders

RichieP · 05-28-2006, 10:25 AM

I took a $ 4.00 win bet on the # 1 and then took a $ 4.00 Quinella 1-6

the 1 beats the 6 in the shadow of the wire paying $ 18.40

RichieP · 05-28-2006, 10:28 AM

for not a lot of money the result was pretty good. I've been practicing using bets of $ 8.00- $ 10.00 a race. When I get better my bets using this method will increase.

I have to bet because otherwise it's not real to me.

ok hope this made sense. I had an unreal day yesterday after my " tune up"

Richie

shoeless · 05-28-2006, 10:33 AM

Richie,Job well done lil bro,Happy Holiday to you and your family.Jeff

RichieP · 05-28-2006, 10:58 AM

Here is the result chart of the race

notice we have the final time NAILED perfectly. 1c pace very close. 2c pace went in 114. set by who? yes the # 5 like we thought. and he died just like we thought.

also that # 2 who had that crazy last race from 8.3f collapsed under the pace he faced tonight.

Richie

THE HAT · 05-28-2006, 11:17 AM

Richie,
Great job. You make me proud. You matched the race following the Five Step Approach the way it has to be . Great call on the number two horse. Keep up the good work.

Jim

dugoutgold · 05-28-2006, 01:34 PM

Great Job Rich, I really like this post, time for me now to go to work on this!. Look forward to more examples for you also.

05-28-2006, 10:02 AM	#11
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	finding contenders ok so I start with the # 1 horse trying to find lines MATCHING the proj pace 1c - 48.8 2c - 114.8 ft - 141.1 here is the # 1 horse. looking down to line 5 he is an exact match to the proj pace and finished 2nd less than a lenght. he is in reasonable form looking at his last couple of lines so we add him as a contender Attached Images

05-28-2006, 10:10 AM	#12
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	ok here is horse # 2 this is the ONLY horse I made a call on and its because of that 8.3f line in the last race. I did NOT buy that line 1c - 47.5 2c - 113.6 BOTH the calls are MOREthan one full second faster than the proj pace. If you buy that line there is noone else in the race to consider. I didnt buy the line and here is WHY. lines 2 and 3 are both from TODAYS distance of 8f ok? look at 2 back please. Horse blows the field away and earns the SAME EXACT speed rating as the last race with that crazy high pace. Pace from the 2 back 8f blowout 1c - 49.5 2c - 115.4 much to SLOW against todays proj pace. anyway I tossed him as a contender based on that fact ok? he raced up close early on and totally COLLAPSED before they even got to the far turn. TOO SLOW Attached Images

05-28-2006, 10:12 AM	#13
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	ok the ONLY other contender who raced against the proj pace or quicker was the # 3 - Paris Pride here is his last line contender Attached Images

05-28-2006, 10:22 AM	#14
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	final grouping you can look at all the other horses. NOBODY other than the 6 -1 - 3 can match the proj pace set by the 5. check it for yourself. ok so here is the screen shot of the ORIGINAL pacelines of the contenders including the proj pace seeter # 5. LOOKING at the lines the 5 figures to set the pace and collapse by the 2c. There is NO other early speed here so a closer should NOT win this race. GOODBYE # 3. Win should go to an early presser type who sits close to that 5 and takes over. that leaves the # 1 and # 6. We are supposed to begin matching the horses at the FIRST call. So in thi race if we are looking for early to win of the # 1 and # 6 who is best at 1c? the # 1. We can carry across this matching up of the 1 and 6 but first we should know that these races showing for the 1 and 6 are the SAME race btw. It's a tandem where the 6 beat the 1 at the finish by 1/2 a lenght. these are the only 2 horses in the race man. 1 and 6 - 1 and 6 odds at 2 mtp? 1 - 8/1 6 - 3/5 see how we did this? NEVER looked at readouts - just matched up the horses and determined how the race should go. screen shot of the contenders Attached Images

05-28-2006, 10:25 AM	#15
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	My Bets I took a $ 4.00 win bet on the # 1 and then took a $ 4.00 Quinella 1-6 the 1 beats the 6 in the shadow of the wire paying $ 18.40 Attached Images

05-28-2006, 10:28 AM	#16
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	for not a lot of money the result was pretty good. I've been practicing using bets of $ 8.00- $ 10.00 a race. When I get better my bets using this method will increase. I have to bet because otherwise it's not real to me. ok hope this made sense. I had an unreal day yesterday after my " tune up" Richie Attached Images

05-28-2006, 10:33 AM	#17
shoeless Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 4,151	Richie,Job well done lil bro,Happy Holiday to you and your family.Jeff

05-28-2006, 10:58 AM	#18
RichieP Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,014	Result chart Here is the result chart of the race notice we have the final time NAILED perfectly. 1c pace very close. 2c pace went in 114. set by who? yes the # 5 like we thought. and he died just like we thought. also that # 2 who had that crazy last race from 8.3f collapsed under the pace he faced tonight. Richie Attached Images

05-28-2006, 11:17 AM	#19
THE HAT Grade 2 Join Date: May 2006 Posts: 86	Richie, Great job. You make me proud. You matched the race following the Five Step Approach the way it has to be . Great call on the number two horse. Keep up the good work. Jim

05-28-2006, 01:34 PM	#20
dugoutgold Grade 1 Join Date: May 2006 Posts: 206	Great Job Rich, I really like this post, time for me now to go to work on this!. Look forward to more examples for you also.