Saratoga Race 1 July 25th,2012

[justin13892002]

Using the match-up.

Pace will be set by the 4, using Line #2, of 21.3-45
The 4 will get a bunch of early pressure, and will fade late.

3,1,7,8,9 (Another E horse), and 1A are all too slow, and will be too far back from this pace.

This leaves the 2-5-6 and 7.

The 2 won on the sloppy Belmont track 3 back against a 21.4, 45.4.
The 5 faced about the same last out, and faded horribly. OUT
The 6 is a Presser, who sat just off the lead 4 and 5 back at Gulfstream, winning the mile race, and finishing 3rd against 21.3-45
The 7 was in the same race as the 2 on the Belmont slop, and really didnt show much last out against a slightly slower pace.

This leaves the 2 and 6.

If I were to narrow it down to 1, I would play the 6, as he should sit just off the lead, and has enough to go by at the top of the stretch


$10 Win on 6, $5 Win on 2


Good Luck