Day 21 DMR feature race Race 7 Marathon Handicap

[Bill V.]

Today's race is a Bill Lyster special 11 furlongs
1 3/8 Miles Turf Purse $75,000 Stakes CTT AND TOC H.

Getting my stuff ready for my trip back home to the east coast
Buffalo Springfield, On The Way Home

https://youtu.be/SjaFcwFZa9A

[Lt1]

Have a safe trip Bill see you at the SPA.
Tim

[Bill Lyster]

I originally got it down to the 2-5-6-7-8 and started whittling it down after that.

The 8 could/should run behind the 3 and burn the 3 into a crisp if its last is a true indication of talent. The 8 had pressed or wired its field 5 times in the past, in very slowly run races. I think it can press today in what should be a quicker race.. The next best presser is the 5 who has run 4-3-1 off of a 135.2 and has be on or just off the lead at the stretch call in 3 races.

I eliminated the 2 and 6 because while they closed strongly, they were never in the top 3 at the mile call. The 6 is obvious class of the race, but it looks like a prep to me. Its first 7 races were on dirt and only won a 4.5f race. Its last 9 have been on turf and with one sprint exception, all have been routes.

2 starts at 8 furlongs, finishing 4th and 5th
4 starts at 9 furlongs, 2 wins, one place and a very close 4th
2 starts at 10 furlongs finished 12th and 9th. So I am guessing that there is a 9f race coming up sooner or later that this one is prepped to go.

First choice is the 8, then the 5 and a longshot #7 just in case the 147.3 (134.5 mile time) where it won a So. American Grade 1, is not a fluke.

Exotically, I would not leave out the 6 from the place hole, just not for win.

[raceman5]

8-6 for me


Bob

[Bill V.]

Hey Bob
The 6 horse is scratched I just saw the change

[Bill V.]

This is a handicap race. The 8 is the top weight

I will wagercap with the 8 2 5

+------------------------------+  +------------------------+  +------+  +----+
¦#¦PN NAME LdT¦SPR¦BAL¦   TOT-R¦  ¦EPR¦LPR¦CPR¦ TT¦FW¦HE¦FX¦  ¦V/DC-T¦  ¦SUPP¦
+-+-----------+---+---+--------¦  +---+---+---+---+--+--+--¦  +------¦  +----¦
¦1¦ 2 DREAM2  ¦ 85¦  6¦164.62-2¦  ¦  4¦  2¦  2¦  1¦ 3¦ 2¦ 5¦  ¦     2¦  ¦   2¦
+-+-----------+---+---+--------¦  +---+---+---+---+--+--+--¦  +------¦  +----¦
¦2¦ 4 DYNAM2  ¦ 81¦  7¦164.15-3¦  ¦  1¦  5¦  5¦  3¦ 5¦ 5¦ 3¦  ¦     5¦  ¦   5¦
+-+-----------+---+---+--------¦  +---+---+---+---+--+--+--¦  +------¦  +----¦
¦3¦ 5 PLACE4  ¦ 83¦  6¦163.55-4¦  ¦  3¦  4¦  3¦  4¦ 4¦ 4¦ 2¦  ¦     3¦  ¦   3¦
+-+-----------+---+---+--------¦  +---+---+---+---+--+--+--¦  +------¦  +----¦
¦4¦ 6 DECKE3  ¦ 83¦  6¦162.63-5¦  ¦  5¦  1¦  4¦  5¦ 1¦ 1¦ 4¦  ¦     3¦  ¦   4¦
+-+-----------+---+---+--------¦  +---+---+---+---+--+--+--¦  +------¦  +----¦
¦5¦ 8 GOLDY1  ¦ 87¦  5¦165.44-1¦  ¦  2¦  3¦  1¦  2¦ 2¦ 3¦ 1¦  ¦     1¦  ¦   1¦
+------------------------------+  +------------------------+  +------+  +----+


                  DMR0816 7 11.0 T ST 3+  $75,000 5:03PM

                       INCREMENTAL MATCH-UP GRAPH (VAL4)
+-----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
¦# PNcNAME L¦         1F         ¦         2F          ¦     3F+TOTAL PACE    ¦
+-----------+--------------------¦---------------------+----------------------¦
¦1  2 DREAM2¦      4->           ¦                  1->¦               2->    ¦
+-----------+--------------------¦---------------------+----------------------¦
¦2  4 DYNAM2¦                 1->¦         3->         ¦ 5->                  ¦
+-----------+--------------------¦---------------------+----------------------¦
¦3  5 PLACE4¦          3->       ¦     4->             ¦           3->        ¦
+-----------+--------------------¦---------------------+----------------------¦
¦4  6 DECKE3¦  5->               ¦ 5->                 ¦           3->        ¦
+-----------+--------------------¦---------------------+----------------------¦
¦5  8 GOLDY1¦              2->   ¦             2->     ¦                   1->¦
+-----------------------------------------------------------------------------+

[The Pook]

Handicap race! I'm going FTL all the way. Maybe to the bank! With 6 scratched the three top high weights with ties are 2,3,5,7,8. 7 is unknown. 8 is probably the best and is THE high weight but 8 and 7 have been away well over 89 days.

So 2,3,5 into the mix. 2,5 come up on top in BLBL.
5,2 @ 60/40

Pook

[Bill V.]

Originally Posted by Lt1

Have a safe trip Bill see you at the SPA.
Tim

Yes I am really looking forward to seeing everyone

Bill

[raceman5]

thanks, Bill on the 6 being scr. will go with

8-5

[Mitch44]

Another tough feature where two horses stand out but at least 5 unknowns in this race. And the two best will be bet down good, any unknown is subject to jump up.

I'll go 8-5-4-10

Mitch44