Breeders Saturday picks - Page 4 - Pace and Cap

alydar_ David · 11-05-2011, 04:54 PM

CD
Race: 8 Win Place Show
1st 1 St Nicholas Abbey (IRE) 15.60 7.20 5.40
2nd 7 Sea Moon (GB) 5.00 4.20
3rd 8 Brilliant Speed 7.00
4th 2 Sarafina (FR)
$2 D/Double 8/1 109.20
$2 Exacta 1-7 76.20
$2 Trifecta 1-7-8 1221.80
$2 Superfecta 1-7-8-2 4536.80
Refunds: None
$2 Pick 3 8/8/1 3 of 3 528.60

Ted Craven · 11-05-2011, 05:05 PM

Race 9 It will be really interesting to see how long that monster Early Hansen can hang on! I can't see nearly enough Late energy versus these other Graded Stakes winners, but he could hang around for some money. Watch his past race replays if you get a chance - fascinating.

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Bill Lyster · 11-05-2011, 05:21 PM

If the pace is in the mid 111's for 6 furlongs, this looks like a jumble at the top of the stretch; several horses project to be on or near the lead at that pace;

I like the 2, Dullahan and the 3 Crusade to win; the 13 can wait to pass a lot of horses late, so that is my box exacta, but for the trifecta I have to include the 4 and 7 as well as the favored 10.

So top 3 on top with the rest on the ticket for trifecta and superfecta;

moving on....

Seven Furlongs · 11-05-2011, 05:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ted Craven

Race 9 It will be really interesting to see how long that monster Early Hansen can hang on! I can't see nearly enough Late energy versus these other Graded Stakes winners, but he could hang around for some money. Watch his past race replays if you get a chance - fascinating.

I took your advice and after watching his two races, Hansen is surely a beast. So, I decided to bet him to win, though he was part of my original short list of 5 horses that needed to be paired down.

Thanks for the help Ted.

Ted Craven · 11-05-2011, 05:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Zip Zap

I took your advice and after watching his two races, Hansen is surely a beast. So, I decided to bet him to win, though he was part of my original short list of 5 horses that needed to be paired down.

Thanks for the help Ted.

I never cheered so loudly for a horse I didn't bet to win! Exacta saved my butt.

Ted

Ted Craven · 11-05-2011, 05:55 PM

Race 10. It would not surprise me if Goldi were a step slower this year, and this is no game for sentimentality. Reminds me a bit of Zenyatta last year. Her last race, a chance for glory - 4 consecutive BC wins, etc

I'll go for Gio Ponti and Courageous Cat, and root for Goldi all the way. (Byward bothers me ...)

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Bill Lyster · 11-05-2011, 05:58 PM

Goldikova and Jeranimo to win; with Mr. Commons to complete my exacta box. My 4th is Courageous Cat, so trifecta box 1x3x4x7

Goldikova's last race was at 7 furlongs where the winning time was 118.1 and she lost by a HEAD. Even if this was an "about" distance that was absolutely HUGE.

Mr.Pagine · 11-05-2011, 06:00 PM

1-7-5

THE 7 will be flying late

Bill V. · 11-05-2011, 06:08 PM

1 3 5 for me

Ted Craven · 11-05-2011, 06:32 PM

Classic. Havre de Grace, Ruler on Ice.

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11-05-2011, 05:05 PM	#32
Ted Craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada Posts: 8,854	Race 9 It will be really interesting to see how long that monster Early Hansen can hang on! I can't see nearly enough Late energy versus these other Graded Stakes winners, but he could hang around for some money. Watch his past race replays if you get a chance - fascinating. __________________ RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™ Last edited by Ted Craven; 11-05-2011 at 05:23 PM. Reason: odds

11-05-2011, 05:21 PM	#33
Bill Lyster Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar" Posts: 2,418	Race 9, Juvenile If the pace is in the mid 111's for 6 furlongs, this looks like a jumble at the top of the stretch; several horses project to be on or near the lead at that pace; I like the 2, Dullahan and the 3 Crusade to win; the 13 can wait to pass a lot of horses late, so that is my box exacta, but for the trifecta I have to include the 4 and 7 as well as the favored 10. So top 3 on top with the rest on the ticket for trifecta and superfecta; moving on....

11-05-2011, 05:55 PM	#36
Ted Craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada Posts: 8,854	Race 10. It would not surprise me if Goldi were a step slower this year, and this is no game for sentimentality. Reminds me a bit of Zenyatta last year. Her last race, a chance for glory - 4 consecutive BC wins, etc I'll go for Gio Ponti and Courageous Cat, and root for Goldi all the way. (Byward bothers me ...) __________________ RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™

11-05-2011, 05:58 PM	#37
Bill Lyster Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar" Posts: 2,418	Race 10 Goldikova and Jeranimo to win; with Mr. Commons to complete my exacta box. My 4th is Courageous Cat, so trifecta box 1x3x4x7 Goldikova's last race was at 7 furlongs where the winning time was 118.1 and she lost by a HEAD. Even if this was an "about" distance that was absolutely HUGE. Last edited by Bill Lyster; 11-05-2011 at 06:01 PM. Reason: added previous race comment

11-05-2011, 06:00 PM	#38
Mr.Pagine Happy Punting Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: Toronto, Ontario Posts: 481	Goldi - love her 1-7-5 THE 7 will be flying late

11-05-2011, 04:54 PM	#31
alydar_ David Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,654	CD Race: 8 Win Place Show 1st 1 St Nicholas Abbey (IRE) 15.60 7.20 5.40 2nd 7 Sea Moon (GB) 5.00 4.20 3rd 8 Brilliant Speed 7.00 4th 2 Sarafina (FR) $2 D/Double 8/1 109.20 $2 Exacta 1-7 76.20 $2 Trifecta 1-7-8 1221.80 $2 Superfecta 1-7-8-2 4536.80 Refunds: None $2 Pick 3 8/8/1 3 of 3 528.60

11-05-2011, 06:08 PM	#39
Bill V. The egg man Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: Carlsbad, California Posts: 10,005	1 3 5 for me

11-05-2011, 06:32 PM	#40
Ted Craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada Posts: 8,854	Classic. Havre de Grace, Ruler on Ice. __________________ RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™

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