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Races of Interest *Detailed* Discussion of Races – Screen shots, decisions, post-mortems |
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02-03-2019, 09:48 AM | #1 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2011
Posts: 695
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2019 Kentucky Derby Prep races
The "countdown begins"....90 days out till the "Big Dance" on the 1st Saturday in May at the Twin Spirals at Churchill Downs.
The 1st of Baffert's big three started his 3 year old Derby campaign with style. Mucho Gusto dominated. ("Nice to meet you" in Spanish when you greet someone new..) Does Baffert wait for the Santa Anita Derby or does he find another prep race??? This one looks to prep on the West Coast while Improbable might go to the Rebel and Arkansas Derby route. Mucho Gusto had a turn time of 23.2+ and a 3rd fraction of 31.2 on the sloppy track. The track at Santa Anita got drenched with heavy rain and the track was sealed. Super fast all week during storms. Battle of Midway and McKenzie also ran super fast clockings on the sloppy track. |
02-09-2019, 08:04 PM | #2 |
Conley
Join Date: Sep 2018
Location: Fergus, Canada
Posts: 1,777
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I asked my dad for a future wager on Collosium and he did it on HPI (which is the the prime betting here in Canada) and the odds were 35-1! I will be super happy if he can draw AND WIN THE DERBY!!!
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02-13-2019, 09:55 PM | #3 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2011
Posts: 695
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Coliseum is off the Derby Trail
Quote from Paulickreport:
Godolphin homebred Coliseum finished third in Sunday's G2 San Vicente Stakes at Santa Anita, defeated as the 0.70-1 favorite in the field of five. Trainer Bob Baffert told drf.com that the 3-year-old son of Tapit is “better than that,” and officially declared the colt off the Kentucky Derby trail. “I'm going to reboot him, kick him out for 30 days,” Baffert said. “We know he's good, but he doesn't want to train, he's sour.” |
02-14-2019, 07:59 AM | #4 | |
Conley
Join Date: Sep 2018
Location: Fergus, Canada
Posts: 1,777
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Quote:
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02-16-2019, 10:43 AM | #5 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2011
Posts: 695
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2 Year Old Champion
Every Derby Analysis should always start with the 2 Year Old Champ:
Big Question will be if its 2 year old campaign took too much. Game Winner |
02-16-2019, 10:45 AM | #6 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2011
Posts: 695
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Bob Baffert's other top 3 year old
Improbable
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02-16-2019, 10:47 AM | #7 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2011
Posts: 695
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Big Performance first race out
Bill Mott's Hidden Scroll
This one ran a strong mile around one turn..... |
02-16-2019, 10:51 AM | #8 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2011
Posts: 695
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Let's await Hidden Scroll's next race in the Fountain of Youth around 2 turns and a couple of questions to be answered...
1)Bounce?? Negative 2 on Thoro-Graph (published on Haskin's Top 12 Derby contenders) 2)Was first race enhanced by the sloppy track?? nevertheless, it was a huge performance... |
02-16-2019, 10:54 AM | #9 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2011
Posts: 695
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Interesting Derby hopeful
This is trainer Bill Mott's other Derby hopeful who ran a huge 3rd fraction but against a very "slow" early pace fractions:
Country House runs in the Risen Star today at the Fair Grounds |
02-17-2019, 12:26 AM | #10 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2011
Posts: 695
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Risen Star chart
War of Will takes Risen Star
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