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Matchup Discussion Matchup Discussion and Practice

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Old 10-23-2014, 01:45 PM   #1
PeteC
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B/r t.t. #2 (10/25 wo r#7)

Here is a full field of runners up north this Saturday. Should be a good race to practice projecting pace, determining E or OTE, and matching from the winning group.....M/L favorite is 3-1 so if you can match the winner here the payoff should be good.

There was a nice turn out of matchers for the first race. I know there were others interested in this thread too who may be able to jump in with this one...
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Old 10-24-2014, 09:12 AM   #2
mowens33
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Old 10-25-2014, 06:16 AM   #3
viikinki
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Tough race. Not much to comment but wanted to get my post in before the results. OTE and #3.
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Old 10-25-2014, 08:48 AM   #4
vderdak
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1a ote no Comes from lower class track – out
2 ote 50.0 114.1 no Losing position 1c-2c – out
3 ote 50.0 114.1 no slow fractions - out
4 ote 50.0 114.1 no slow fractions – out
5 ote 50.4 114.4 no slow fractions – out
6 ote no Sprinter – out
7 ote 50.0 114.1 no slow fractions – out
8 ote no turf horse – out
9 ote no Comes from lower class track – out
10 ote no Comes from lower class track – out
11 e no Sprinter – out
12 ote 48.0 112.2 yes Pick one
13 ote 48.0 112.2 yes Pick two
14 ote 50.0 114.1 no slow fractions – out
My picks are 11 and 12 out of tandem 9-26
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Old 10-25-2014, 09:02 AM   #5
vderdak
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#1 is out as well, left it out by mistake
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Old 10-25-2014, 09:22 AM   #6
DontSayDont
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First try at MU

10/25/2014
Woodbine
Race 7
Post/SC# ________ RS______1c_____ 2c______Comments
1--4____ Sneaky Money___ S______
1A--15__ Ascania_________ S______ Out with bad post for RS
2--1____ Action Plan______ P______ Exotics Possibilities
3--2____ Seawatch_______ P______ Needs faster pace to close into
4--3____ September Square P______ Contender
5--5____ Ryder Kay_______ EP_____ Class check time
6--6____ Twilight Shadow__ EP_____
7--7____ Monetary Man____ P______ Contender
8--8____ Lethal Combination S______
9--9____ Ramblin Rocket___ S______
10--10__ LifesNotABreeze__ P______
11--11__ Incdredicat______ E______ 48.1____ 1:12.1__ Major Player
12--12__ Pit Alley_________EP At his best class level
13--13__ Best Available____ EP_____ 48.2____ 1:12.2__ Can he run his best from this post
14--14__ Guipago________ S_____ Exotics Possibilities

Did not try to list all the Tandems as many of these are taking turns beating each other.
I think this race will go to Early with the lone E (# 11)winning or getting passed late by a EP (# 12)

Sorry about the format but I need to read on how to insert an attachment.

Ray
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Old 10-25-2014, 09:32 AM   #7
vderdak
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My picks are 12-13 not 11-12, I can't type this morning.
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Old 10-25-2014, 11:13 AM   #8
viikinki
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Quote:
Originally Posted by viikinki View Post
Tough race. Not much to comment but wanted to get my post in before the results. OTE and #3.
Change to #13
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Old 10-25-2014, 11:27 AM   #9
Capcondo
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Interesting race. Thanks for posting it Pete. There are a few too many unknowns (particularly regarding early pace) for me. I will probably pass. But, I'll render an opinion here.

There are several tandems with the 24 48 1;12.2 involving the 4, 12 and 13 being the fastest.

Speed:

6: Sprinting at FE
2: Might be part of pace.
11: Not a fighter and not good recently. I think he'll get the lead in 24.3 (bottom line on grass)

Pace: I think it will go very much like the 3's race three back in 24.3 49 1:13 1:45.2

The others:
1 Slow Out
1A Also eligible Slow Out
2 Might be part of pace. That turf track at MNR is very fast.
3 Solid OTE 3 and four back against probable pace. Contender.
4 Didn't handle fast tandem. Out
5 2 good OTE 3 and 9 races back. Contender.
6 Out. Early printer in route.
7 Very few good races. Last two trouble at start. Last is unfair start whatever that means. Can handle 24.3 3 back. Contender.
8 Slow. Out.
9 Bad poly. Out.
10 Out.
11 E. Last two very poor. Out. Lead in 24.3.
12 Good OTE Power Moves. Ran well in fast tandem. Contender.
13 2nd position type horse. Won fast tandem. Loses ground between 1st and 2nd call. Not right style for this race. Out.
14 Very late. Out.

I think it will run OTE. I am left with the 3,5,7, and 12. I am going to pick two horses here. The 12 from the fast tandem and the 3 because I like the power moves with a bit of fight at the end.
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Old 10-25-2014, 12:13 PM   #10
PeteC
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Heads up that #7 and #11 are scratched.
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