Class Still Matters - Pace and Cap

vderdak · 03-09-2013, 06:20 PM

Oaklawn Race #7 - Honeybee Stakes Grade 3

#3 Rose to Gold - 5-1 at post time - my bet
#8 Flashy Gray - 2-5 at post time - the favorite

In this race Rose to Gold, the only horse in the race who has won a graded stakes, no other horse has, shows a clear class advantage.

Flashy Gray pounded down to 2-5, optional claiming winner, trained by William Mott, ridden by Mike Smith.

If you factor class into your handicapping and believe class still matters this was a no brainer bet.

#3 Rose to Gold paid $12.60 to win

Ted Craven · 03-09-2013, 06:50 PM

Agreed, and good point! The #8 Flashy horse had no business (IMO) being bet down that much, given no proven distance experience and nowhere near the level of competition. What did it have to warrant such favouritism - Bill Mott and Mike Smith?

The horse still runs the race.

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vderdak · 03-09-2013, 07:09 PM

Ted

I did run it on RDSS2 as well, it just confirmed how good a wager it was. I love it when the betting public makes a major mistake on high profile trainers and jockeys, it just inflates the odds for the remaining contenders.

atkinsrr · 03-10-2013, 08:58 PM

yea..I agree , also credit Calvin Borel for the great ride...straight to the rail and to the front !!!!

03-09-2013, 06:20 PM	#1
vderdak Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 130	Class Still Matters Oaklawn Race #7 - Honeybee Stakes Grade 3 #3 Rose to Gold - 5-1 at post time - my bet #8 Flashy Gray - 2-5 at post time - the favorite In this race Rose to Gold, the only horse in the race who has won a graded stakes, no other horse has, shows a clear class advantage. Flashy Gray pounded down to 2-5, optional claiming winner, trained by William Mott, ridden by Mike Smith. If you factor class into your handicapping and believe class still matters this was a no brainer bet. #3 Rose to Gold paid $12.60 to win

03-09-2013, 06:50 PM	#2
Ted Craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada Posts: 8,854	Agreed, and good point! The #8 Flashy horse had no business (IMO) being bet down that much, given no proven distance experience and nowhere near the level of competition. What did it have to warrant such favouritism - Bill Mott and Mike Smith? The horse still runs the race. __________________ RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™

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03-09-2013, 07:09 PM	#3
vderdak Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 130	Ted I did run it on RDSS2 as well, it just confirmed how good a wager it was. I love it when the betting public makes a major mistake on high profile trainers and jockeys, it just inflates the odds for the remaining contenders.

03-10-2013, 08:58 PM	#4
atkinsrr Grade 1 Join Date: Jan 2010 Posts: 507	yea..I agree , also credit Calvin Borel for the great ride...straight to the rail and to the front !!!!