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02-18-2018, 12:05 PM | #1 |
Grade 1
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Staten Island, NY
Posts: 3,952
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FEB 18 Match-Up Race
Here we are going with a little more than the match up.....
when you follow a track, sometimes the intangibles pop up.. Race 4 This is a non-winners of 3 lifetime sometimes horses get stuck in a condition for a while... this is the case for the favorite #8 So there's a good chance that he might lose today... The intangible is #4 , yesterday this Tr/Jk combo hit a $20+ winner Second race over track ....he sure fits a good match up here Good Luck Mike
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Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack |
02-18-2018, 01:15 PM | #2 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Tempe, Arizona
Posts: 600
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Thanks for posting Mike. Good to see you back here.
The 3,4,7, and 8 are my contenders. The 7 should get loose but loves to stop and has run slow third fractions. OUT. The 3 has routed well and has run some dirt races in her past. Her works on the dirt are good. CONTENDER. The 4 has run on the dirt and not very well. But, she got the lead that day and that's not where she lives. No works on the dirt. Mike, your signature line implies she's trying to do something she's never done before. CONTENDER. I'm with you Mike on the 8. She seems to be tailing off. OUT. This leaves me the 3 and 4. I have questions about the 4. The 3 is my pick. GL |
02-18-2018, 02:13 PM | #3 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,706
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tough race , 3,4,6,are UNKNOWN FACTORS.
contenders 2-3-5-8 My WAG is 5-3-8 Mitch44 |
02-18-2018, 02:16 PM | #4 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 9,190
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My contenders are 8734.
I'll go $3 wp8 $2wp 3 plus $2exbox 3478 and $1exs 3478/2 Tim
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02-18-2018, 02:25 PM | #5 |
Grade 1
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Staten Island, NY
Posts: 3,952
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logical choices ran 1-2...
thxs for playing.. Cap...glad to see ya again... Tim...your going to have to send me money
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Never bet a favorite doing something for the first time-Harvey Pack |
02-18-2018, 03:18 PM | #6 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: The Villages, Fl.
Posts: 3,706
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While the 8 was the best horse I was suspicious of it running a career high as a 5 yr. old and the fact that after running a big race in last, due to B added, it wasn't moving up in class. If the horse is still the same it has plenty of upside from the equ. change. Why run it back for 8,000. Plus its odds figured to be a bet down favorite. Probably was claimed as there are some sharp trainers that can observe a horse and determine their present state.
Just before post odds on the 8 were better than I thought they would be so I did something unusual and figured I could still make some money. I bet my three top picks instead of two horses. Naturally after I bet the 8 odds dropped. COMPLETED: 1f4c1-f85be TAM #4 $5 Win3, 5, 8none $15.00 $12.50 - $2.50 Mitch44 |
02-18-2018, 03:22 PM | #7 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Apr 2012
Location: Valley Stream NY
Posts: 9,190
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Well I guess we will have to work out a deal. Just noticed you are just down the Belt and over the gang plank from me.
Tim
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Trust but verify |
02-18-2018, 06:59 PM | #8 |
Grade 1
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Staten Island, NY
Posts: 3,952
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Yep....
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