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Sartin Methodology Handicapping 101 (102 ...) Interactive Teaching & Learning - Race Conditions, Contenders, Pacelines, Advanced Concepts, Betting ...

 
 
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Old 01-23-2013, 11:38 PM   #10
For The Lead
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 1,292
PRX race 4 1.21.13

This is an interesting race for the following reason.
THERE IS NOT AN EARLY HORSE AMONG THE CONTENDERS!
Just look at the running lines.
What I'm going to say next applies to ALL TYPES of races. When you end up with nothing but pressers and closers among you contenders, one of them will rank #1 early. One of them will show best on the F1 section of the segments screen. One of them will show fastest on EPR on the TPR screen.
Does this mean that is the early horse in the race?
ABSOLUTELY NOT!!

Early horses are early horses.
OTHER THAN early horses are OTHER THAN early!!!

So in this race there is no early horse to "zero in on", even though the winner showed best on F1 on the segments screen. In this race the BL/BL may be the right place to look. In this case it was. The winner actually came from off the pace to win the race.

One last note. Check the class on the running lines screen. The winner is the only horse among the contenders that is dropping down a couple of classes for this race. This is always a help to maidens.

The winner, #4, paid $6.20.
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