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09-04-2015, 10:14 PM | #11 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jul 2011
Posts: 126
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saratoga.....i like the z pattern move on the #5 mylute....1 1/4 showed early speed....1 1/8 came closing with a huge number...pace looks hot up front today....win...#2 @ #5...as said above here.#.2 speed of the speed...did his last race take a little out of him
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09-04-2015, 10:32 PM | #12 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jul 2011
Posts: 126
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Just a side race..sar. Race 8..#8 nonnas boy 8/1..lone speed...w/p
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09-04-2015, 11:13 PM | #13 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: CAMBRIDGE,MA
Posts: 1,048
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Wood 2
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09-05-2015, 08:11 AM | #14 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada
Posts: 2,573
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Hey Mikey, welcome back! It is hard to see but is that the trophy you won for the contest last year with RDSS?
Pook |
09-05-2015, 10:26 AM | #15 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada
Posts: 2,573
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Woodbine Race 2
The 2 is the only horse to have been on the lead at the first call. But that was on turf. I want to say that 5 will be the lead horse but 2 could put pressure on him and give him the same problems as last race. Then again the 2 is mostly paceless. Will the 5 who fought through two calls have the extra energy to finish today with no pressure early. Maybe. I don't feel confident about what is going to happen early on the lead. I see no reliable early speed. FPLR points to 3 and 5 and could be the answer in pretty much a no pace race. Don't know. PASS |
09-05-2015, 11:21 AM | #16 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada
Posts: 2,573
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Saratoga Race 10
I have four Earlies in here. 2,4,6,8 with the (4) a need to lead. A lot of early pressure. This is why I chose this race. I think the 2 (Liams Map) goes for the lead but with more pressure than last time. He ran faster than he needed to and gave it up. He didn't have many competitors going for the front with him. May be worse this time? The 8 can run OTE also and can handle the projected pace. The 7 can handle the pace and runs OTE. Positionally I like the 8. I had an interesting PM conversation with (For The Lead) this week in which he pointed out to me the low win rates (5%) of horses coming off layoffs of over 90 days garnered from his database. That makes me take pause on backing the 8. However I think that applies less to stakes horses and 8 is at only 127 days. Also 8 has won from 234 days. I may have to eat my words. So I really hate to go against Liams Map and he may hang on and fry me this time but from a Matchup perspective I think things have changed for Liams. Chime in and disagree including (For The Lead) and throw up your own perspective. Thats what this is all about. I land on the 7 and 8.. 7,8 for the WIN Pook Last edited by The Pook; 09-05-2015 at 11:25 AM. |
09-05-2015, 12:00 PM | #17 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Loretto, Ontario Canada
Posts: 2,573
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Saratoga Race 10
I read the posts above mine. I think we will all be in agreement. From a Matchers perspective the Earlies are in trouble here. It seems pretty obvious. Does anything support an Early going all the way? Like I said maybe the 8 which can also run from off. But a wire to wire? I don't see it. Pook |
09-05-2015, 12:29 PM | #18 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 611
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Saratoga
Agree that OTE is the way to go here with 3 very fast earlies, but man the 2 and 6 are vicious. Nevertheless, I will go with the 7 to win OTE.
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09-05-2015, 01:38 PM | #19 | |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: CAMBRIDGE,MA
Posts: 1,048
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Quote:
Your right that’s from the Pace and Cap (RDSS) contest, I figured I’d get my ugly mag off and turn things around!! Thanks for the welcome back!!! Mike |
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09-05-2015, 04:07 PM | #20 |
Grade 1
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: CAMBRIDGE,MA
Posts: 1,048
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Sar 10
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