Saturday - Hawthorne - "E" Proj Pace

[RichieP]

The pace horse scratches but that doesnt stop Pete C for nailing the nice 11 buck winner with his pick and Bill L for having him in his final 2 horse mix. Awesome work guys and a huge thank you to all who took the time to jump in and participate.

Once again the post time favorite is a LOSER in the Win slot a pattern consistently being repeated here with the "Matcher" races for over 3 MONTHS now (post time fav winners are a total of THREE from 21 races I posted up in the "TM100 and "E" proj pace" series)

Odio preferiti vincente

Buon Natale e vi benedica tutti!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jQ7BQ...feature=relmfu

[PeteC]

[QUOTE=RichieP;76547]
Once again the post time favorite is a LOSER in the Win slot a pattern consistently being repeated here with the "Matcher" races for over 3 MONTHS now (post time fav winners are a total of THREE from 21 races I posted up in the "TM100 and "E" proj pace" series)

QUOTE]

Hey Rich, thanks for another good race...Is there any reasopn for the low favorite percentage in this cycle? Is there something specific you're spotting beforehand or has it just worked out that way?

[RichieP]

[QUOTE=PeteC;76566]

Originally Posted by RichieP

Once again the post time favorite is a LOSER in the Win slot a pattern consistently being repeated here with the "Matcher" races for over 3 MONTHS now (post time fav winners are a total of THREE from 21 races I posted up in the "TM100 and "E" proj pace" series)

QUOTE]

Hey Rich, thanks for another good race...Is there any reasopn for the low favorite percentage in this cycle? Is there something specific you're spotting beforehand or has it just worked out that way?

Hi Pete
Hat wanted me to play win bets at 3/2 when I first started with him. I wasnt good enough to pick enough of them to profit from so he upped it to 2/1.

I told him I still was not going to profit at that level with my picking abilities and asked him for some clues to look for as far as who will be the fav and some things to look for in both ml favs and horses I thought might be favored come race time.

He helped me with some things and then I found Jim Lehane's book "Calibration Handicapping" where one chapter explains how you go about making a line on your contenders. It is an excellent read and some of that helped me a bit too.

Bottom line is I hate low priced chalks so I try to post up here races with fuller fields, more than 2 or 3 real competitors for the WIn slot and some negatives about the horses I think are going to be bet heavily. Doesnt mean we will win them all but ........

You are doing great wotk my man~! Keep focusing on repeating patterns of SUCCESSFUL races ok? Keep focusing on repeating patterns of SUCCESSFUL races. Keep focusing on repeating patterns of SUCCESSFUL races

Good Matching Pete and a very Merry Christmas to you and yours
Richie