Penn - Friday

[RichieP]

Here is race 5 on tonight's card going 8f

Race conditions and entries

[RichieP]

The field with middle tab set on tandems

[RichieP]

...

[RichieP]

Will the winner tonight run Early or Other than Early?

Projected pace 1c and 2c?

What positions do the runners win from or finish VERY close to the winner?

Are there runners who can win using BOTH styles of E or OTE?

[For The Lead]

Originally Posted by RichieP

Will the winner tonight run Early or Other than Early?

Projected pace 1c and 2c?

What positions do the runners win from or finish VERY close to the winner?

Are there runners who can win using BOTH styles of E or OTE?

Is this a hint?

We have to "Read Richies Notes"?

[PeteC]

Originally Posted by For The Lead

Is this a hint?

We have to "Read Richies Notes"?

This has to be a nice race to look at...We'd all love to "Read Richies Notes" !!

[PeteC]

I will project the pace off the last line for #8: 23.3 47.4 112.4

#1: ugly last 3 races in sprints. OUT

#2: Big win last time running early. She has also won from 2nd and 6th at the 1C. I see line 4 was a narrow win over #8 with a faster pace than what I projected today (22.4 46.4 113 with positions 6-2-2-1). She looks fast and can win early or OTE. IN

#3: Has won form only 1st or 2nd position at 1C. Line 8 was a win against similar pace but hasn't held on to win in more recent tries. OUT

#4: Sustained runner that hasn't faced today's pace. OUT

#5: Only route try was a lead and fade versus similar pace today. OUT

#6: Has won early or ote. line 2 was a decent effort vs a faster pace than today. Contender

#7: Has won early and OTE but vs slower pace than today. OUT

#8: Has only won from 1st or 2nd position. I feel other early types will push this one too fast early today. OUT

#9: Sustained runner who hasn't done well vs today's pace. OUT

I'm left with #2 and #6. I'm fond of horses coming off big early wins in their last race who show a previous ote win vs a faster pace. That's what leads me to pick #2 on top.

[justin13892002]

Originally Posted by RichieP

Will the winner tonight run Early or Other than Early?

Projected pace 1c and 2c?

What positions do the runners win from or finish VERY close to the winner?

Are there runners who can win using BOTH styles of E or OTE?

Time to test the ol' skills.


1.. EP 47.7, 1:14.1...(Showed EP in only route race)
2.. EP 49, 1:14.6 (Was in a paceless race in last)
3.. EP 48, 1:12.1
4.. S 48.6, 1:13.8
5.. E or EP 47.4, 1:13.6 (E in only route)
6.. EP or P 46.6, 1:11.9
7.. E 49.5, 1:13.8
8.. E 47.8, 1:12.8
9.. S 46.8, 1:13.3

Looks like race is def. OTE.

Pace estimated fractions are 47.7, 1:12.1, but could go faster due to all the E horses.

Usually I would say play both the 4 and 9, but will take a different approach. Neither has faced a 1:12 pace, so tough to tell if horses could close off it, so I will take top Closer, in my opinion, the 4. I will then go with an EP, who may drop back to a P. That would be the 6, who ran well against a 1:11.9 pace.


Selections, 4 and 6

[justin13892002]

Originally Posted by RichieP

Will the winner tonight run Early or Other than Early?

Projected pace 1c and 2c?

What positions do the runners win from or finish VERY close to the winner?

Are there runners who can win using BOTH styles of E or OTE?

The way this question was asked... sounds like Richie had it too

Excellent handicapping, and very glad you were able to post this up Richie!

Thank You!

[Charlie D]

Good skill