Aqueduct 7th race 02-20-2012

[Bob Cochran]

Initially, the race contained 10 horses plus an entry. After scratches and 2 eliminations, four were left. 2 of the four were no-win contenders and will be used if an exotic is wagered.

#1a- scr, # 2 scr,# 4 scr,# 5 scr,# 10 scr.

This leaves #1 a lay-off with no qualified race after a lay-off OUT,
# 3 Lay-off horse with no qualified race after lay-off OUT, #7 a contender, but not for WiN consideration, #8 a contender, but not for Win consideration.

#6 is a Win contender, #9 is a Win contender

The Median Win Energy for AQU 6 fur Winners is 68.75 %
#6 = 68.90% #9 = 67.10 %

Let's see how this plays out after 5 scratches in the race

BobC

[mikesal57]

Bob...

Be patient with us with trying to understand you process..
It happens to me too, trying to explain my thinking doesn't always come out the way I wanted it to..

OK..this race was , to me, unplayable but some questions..

You have a Median energy for all races at a specific distance?
Some would cringe here over that and say its best to have one for each "class" of horses..

Second, in this race why would you say the #9 is a choice?
His Median # is way off

Thxs
Mike

[Bob Cochran]

Hello Mike. You say the 9 horse was way off the energy profile. The race set up
for OTE to capture the race. The 6 was the earliest at profile .68.90%
number 9 68.10% was the choice if you could accept the odds?

Mike , this is what i would like for you to do, so i can clear up a few things
regarding APV-CLASS etc. Please post a Gulfstream race for 02-23-2012.
(race 2). Place the PPs as seen through the eyes of RDSS on the board.

I will then go through the race horse by horse explaining which horses are
contenders , no win contenders, and throw outs along with an explanation
for my reasons. This way FTL and Bill Lyster, or anyone else, can follow my process.

Thanks, BobC